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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Genk

U U S T U

3–3

Full-time

St Truiden

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

1,7

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,75 xG 1,50

51% Possession 49%

20 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 11. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+13	+9.3	13
2	Cercle Brugge	5	4	0	1	+5	+5.5	12
3	RWD Molenbeek	7	3	2	2	-7	-5.5	11
4	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
5	Antwerp	4	2	2	0	+9	+2.9	8
6	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
7	Eupen	6	2	1	3	-5	-6.5	7
8	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
9	Standard	6	1	3	2	+0	-4.7	6
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
11	Genk	3	1	1	1	+3	+5.9	4
12	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.7	4
13	Charleroi	7	0	4	3	-5	-3.7	4
14	Kortrijk	6	0	2	4	-11	-0.0	2
15	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+8	+5.4	7
2	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
3	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
4	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
5	RWD Molenbeek	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.3	6
6	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+6	+2.1	4
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
8	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-5	-4.5	4
9	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
10	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
11	Kortrijk	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.2	1
13	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
14	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
15	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.0	6
2	Cercle Brugge	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.9	6
3	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
4	RWD Molenbeek	4	1	2	1	-5	-3.2	5
5	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.8	4
6	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
7	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
8	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
9	Eupen	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
10	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
11	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
13	Charleroi	4	0	1	3	-5	-4.3	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.