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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Varberg

T S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Hammarby

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

3,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 28%

13%

43%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

61%

52%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,15 xG 2,17

34% Possession 66%

8 Shots 26

2 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 10

9 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

0 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 16. · Hammarby 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	24	16	4	4	+30	+6.9	52
2	Elfsborg	23	15	3	5	+25	+4.6	48
3	Hacken	23	15	2	6	+26	+1.4	47
4	Djurgarden	24	12	4	8	+5	+1.2	40
5	Norrkoping	24	10	5	9	+5	+4.5	35
6	Hammarby	23	10	5	8	+1	+2.3	35
7	Mjallby	24	10	4	10	-1	-5.6	34
8	Kalmar	23	9	6	8	-4	-3.4	33
9	Varnamo	23	10	2	11	+0	+1.4	32
10	Goteborg	24	7	8	9	-1	-1.5	29
11	Halmstad	23	8	5	10	-15	-2.9	29
12	AIK	24	7	7	10	-2	+3.2	28
13	Brommapojkarna	24	8	3	13	-9	-1.7	27
14	Sirius	23	6	5	12	-1	+5.4	23
15	Degerfors	24	7	2	15	-28	-8.6	23
16	Varberg	23	3	5	15	-31	-7.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	12	11	0	1	+24	-0.2	33
2	Djurgarden	12	9	1	2	+11	+2.8	28
3	Malmo FF	12	8	3	1	+20	+2.1	27
4	Elfsborg	12	8	2	2	+16	+0.5	26
5	Hammarby	11	8	1	2	+8	+2.2	25
6	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+8	-0.0	18
7	Kalmar	11	5	3	3	-1	-1.5	18
8	AIK	12	4	5	3	+4	+3.4	17
9	Norrkoping	12	5	2	5	+1	-0.0	17
10	Degerfors	13	5	2	6	-3	-2.4	17
11	Halmstad	11	4	3	4	-5	-2.3	15
12	Brommapojkarna	12	4	2	6	-2	+0.4	14
13	Sirius	12	4	1	7	+4	+6.4	13
14	Varnamo	11	4	1	6	-2	+1.6	13
15	Mjallby	12	3	3	6	-3	-5.7	12
16	Varberg	11	1	3	7	-17	+0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	12	8	1	3	+10	+4.8	25
2	Elfsborg	11	7	1	3	+9	+4.0	22
3	Mjallby	12	7	1	4	+2	+0.1	22
4	Varnamo	12	6	1	5	+2	-0.2	19
5	Norrkoping	12	5	3	4	+4	+4.6	18
6	Kalmar	12	4	3	5	-3	-1.9	15
7	Hacken	11	4	2	5	+2	+1.7	14
8	Halmstad	12	4	2	6	-10	-0.6	14
9	Brommapojkarna	12	4	1	7	-7	-2.1	13
10	Djurgarden	12	3	3	6	-6	-1.6	12
11	AIK	12	3	2	7	-6	-0.2	11
12	Goteborg	12	2	5	5	-9	-1.4	11
13	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-5	-1.0	10
14	Hammarby	12	2	4	6	-7	+0.2	10
15	Varberg	12	2	2	8	-14	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	11	2	0	9	-25	-6.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.