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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Motherwell
T T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Celtic
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
5,2
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 64%
36%
92%
Points per game
1,1
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
64%
77%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,6
4,4
Scored
1,3
3,5
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 10
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 13 12 0 1 +35 36
2 Rangers 13 9 2 2 +19 29
3 Aberdeen 14 7 1 6 +5 22
4 Livingston 14 7 1 6 -5 22
5 Hearts 13 6 2 5 +0 20
6 Hibernian 15 6 2 7 -4 20
7 ST Johnstone 14 6 1 7 -2 19
8 St Mirren 13 6 1 6 -6 19
9 Motherwell 14 5 1 8 -1 16
10 Ross County 15 4 3 8 -12 15
11 Kilmarnock 14 3 3 8 -12 12
12 Dundee United 14 2 3 9 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Celtic
15′
⚽ K. Furuhashi 0–1
M. O'Riley
S. Johansen 🔁
↦ B. Mugabi
22′
Half-time 0–1
C. Shields 🔁
↦ K. van Veen
46′
J. Morris 🔁
↦ S. McKinstry
55′
R. Tierney 🔁
↦ D. Cornelius
60′
L. Moult 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
60′
60′
🔁 S. Hakšabanović
↦ L. Abada
Louis Moult 🟨
64′
66′
🟨 Kyogo Furuhashi
69′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ K. Furuhashi
69′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ R. Hatate
80′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ A. Mooy
80′
🔁 D. Maeda
↦ Jota
Josh Morris 🟨
81′
84′
⚽ D. Maeda 0–2
D. Turnbull
1–2 R. Tierney ⚽
C. Slattery
86′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
5 B. Mugabi D
4 R. Lamie D
24 M. Penney D
18 D. Cornelius M
27 S. Goss M
17 S. McKinstry M
8 C. Slattery M
7 B. Spittal M
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
15 S. Johansen
29 C. Shields
23 J. Morris
26 R. Tierney
21 L. Moult
13 A. Oxborough
49 M. Ferrie
6 B. Maguire
38 L. Miller

Coach: S. Hammell

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
88 J. Juranović D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
13 A. Mooy M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
11 L. Abada F
8 K. Furuhashi F
17 Jota F
Bench (9)
9 S. Hakšabanović
7 G. Giakoumakis
14 D. Turnbull
28 O. Abildgaard
38 D. Maeda
6 M. Jenz
49 J. Forrest
56 A. Ralston
31 B. Siegrist

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,77
U
5,78
B ✓
1,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,44
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.