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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
ST Johnstone
S S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 24%
23%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
77%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 14
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ST Johnstone 10. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 10 1 0 +28 31
2 Aberdeen 11 10 1 0 +14 31
3 Rangers 11 7 1 3 +8 22
4 Dundee United 12 5 4 3 +5 19
5 Motherwell 11 6 1 4 +1 19
6 St Mirren 13 4 3 6 -5 15
7 Dundee 12 3 3 6 -6 12
8 Kilmarnock 12 3 3 6 -10 12
9 Ross County 13 2 6 5 -11 12
10 ST Johnstone 13 3 1 9 -11 10
11 Hearts 13 2 3 8 -6 9
12 Hibernian 12 1 5 6 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Kilmarnock
17′
🟨 Robbie Deas
Jason Holt 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ D. Watson
47′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
1–0 M. Kirk ⚽
A. Raymond
53′
A. Sidibeh 🔁
↦ N. Clark
61′
L. Neilson 🔁
↦ G. Carey
61′
69′
🔁 G. Mackay-Steven
↦ D. Armstrong
69′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ M. Watkins
K. Cameron 🔁
↦ B. Mikulić
76′
A. Essel 🔁
↦ M. Kirk
76′
84′
🟨 Liam Donnelly
84′
🟥 Liam Donnelly
89′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ K. Vassell
89′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ J. Wright
André Raymond 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-3-1-2
12 J. Rae G
14 D. Wright D
5 J. Sanders D
2 B. Mikulić D
3 A. Raymond D
11 G. Carey M
23 S. Sprangler M
7 J. Holt M
10 N. Clark M
27 M. Kirk F
29 B. Kimpioka F
Bench (9)
16 A. Sidibeh
6 L. Neilson
4 K. Cameron
15 A. Essel
22 M. Smith
20 R. Sinclair
24 J. McPake
46 F. Franczak
17 M. Kucheriavyi

Coach: S. Valakari

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
20 R. McCrorie G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
22 L. Donnelly M
3 C. Ndaba M
12 D. Watson F
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
15 F. Murray
14 G. Mackay-Steven
19 B. Anderson
7 R. McKenzie
18 I. Cameron
1 K. O'Hara
2 J. Burroughs
31 L. Polworth
51 O. Bainbridge

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,94
U
3,41
B
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.