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Premier League

Referee: S Hooper

Nott'm Forest

T S U S U

1–1

Full-time

Wolves

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Wolves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

5,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,5

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,04 xG 0,74

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nott'm Forest 7. · Wolves 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.4	7
2	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.6	7
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.8	6
4	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.5	6
5	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.6	4
6	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.1	4
7	Nott'm Forest	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.4	4
8	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.0	3
9	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.5	3
10	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
11	Fulham	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.8	3
12	Brentford	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.9	3
13	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.0	3
14	Bournemouth	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
15	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
16	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
17	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
18	Ipswich	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.2	0
19	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-6	-0.5	0
20	Everton	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
2	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.4	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
5	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
6	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
7	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
9	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
10	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
11	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
13	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
14	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
16	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
17	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
18	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
19	Everton	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
20	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.3	3
3	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.0	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
6	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
10	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
13	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
16	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
17	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.3	0
18	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
19	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.0	0
20	Everton	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.