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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
ST Johnstone
U S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Motherwell
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 13
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 7. · Motherwell 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Aberdeen 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Rangers 3 2 1 0 +7 7
4 Dundee 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Dundee United 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Motherwell 3 1 1 1 +1 4
7 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 +0 3
8 St Mirren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
9 Ross County 3 0 2 1 -6 2
10 Hearts 3 0 1 2 -4 1
11 Hibernian 3 0 1 2 -5 1
12 Kilmarnock 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Motherwell
6′
ℹ️ Paul McGinn
VAR: Penalty cancelled
11′
D. Casey 0–1
A. Halliday
Half-time 0–1
Cameron MacPherson 🟨
51′
52′
🔁 T. Watt
↦ Z. Robinson
G. Carey 🔁
↦ C. MacPherson
63′
J. Holt 🔁
↦ A. Essel
63′
M. Kirk 🔁
↦ N. Clark
63′
1–1 B. Kimpioka
M. Kirk
64′
Jack Sanders 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 T. Sparrow
↦ A. Halliday
69′
🔁 J. Vale
↦ T. Maswanhise
86′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ D. Zdravkovski
94′
M. Ebiye 1–2
D. Casey
Jack Sanders 🟨
96′
Jack Sanders 🟥
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
20 R. Sinclair G
6 L. Neilson D
5 J. Sanders D
4 K. Cameron D
14 D. Wright M
15 A. Essel M
8 C. MacPherson M
22 M. Smith M
3 A. Raymond M
10 N. Clark F
29 B. Kimpioka F
Bench (9)
11 G. Carey
7 J. Holt
27 M. Kirk
31 C. Hepburn
33 D. Keltjens
24 J. McPake
21 C. Smith
23 S. Sprangler
46 F. Franczak

Coach: C. Levein

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
13 A. Oxborough G
16 P. McGinn D
4 L. Gordon D
15 D. Casey D
2 S. O'Donnell M
6 D. Zdravkovski M
11 A. Halliday M
23 E. Wilson M
38 L. Miller F
55 T. Maswanhise F
9 Z. Robinson F
Bench (9)
52 T. Watt
7 T. Sparrow
77 J. Vale
24 M. Ebiye
1 K. Hegyi
5 K. Balmer
21 M. Kaleta
3 S. Seddon
27 D. Wells

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
3,32
B ✓
2,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.