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Bundesliga

Referee: R Hartmann

Werder Bremen

U U S S U

0–0

Full-time

Dortmund

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,41 xG 0,61

47% Possession 53%

5 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

8 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Werder Bremen 10. · Dortmund 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Union Berlin	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
4	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
8	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
9	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
12	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
13	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
14	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
15	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
17	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
18	St Pauli	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
2	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
4	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
7	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
8	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
9	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
10	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
3	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
5	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
6	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
7	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
8	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
9	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.