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Eredivisie
Referee: M Vos
Almere City
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Groningen
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
3,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
3,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-3,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,10 xG 0,56
27% Possession 73%
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almere City 18. · Groningen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 +5 +4.7 10
2 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +12 +6.3 9
3 Groningen 3 2 1 0 +4 +1.3 7
4 Utrecht 3 2 1 0 +2 +0.1 7
5 For Sittard 2 2 0 0 +5 +1.8 6
6 Feyenoord 3 1 2 0 +4 +3.6 5
7 Willem II 3 1 2 0 +2 -1.5 5
8 Twente 2 1 1 0 +1 +3.0 4
9 Ajax 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.3 3
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 3 0 +0 -1.6 3
11 Nijmegen 3 1 0 2 -1 -0.7 3
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 0 2 -2 +2.0 3
13 NAC Breda 3 1 0 2 -3 -2.4 3
14 Heracles 3 0 2 1 -2 -0.9 2
15 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
16 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.9 0
17 Waalwijk 4 0 0 4 -10 -7.6 0
18 Almere City 3 0 0 3 -10 -6.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almere City Groningen
1–0 B. Guillaume
T. Robinet
8′
Hamdi Akujobi 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
J. Kadile 🔁
↦ T. Robinet
46′
53′
🟨 Finn Stam
60′
🟨 Marvin Peersman
65′
🔁 W. Prins
↦ F. Stam
65′
🔁 B. Willumsson
↦ R. Postema
R. Providence 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
67′
67′
L. Bacuna 1–1
M. Peersman
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ F. Mattoir
71′
G. Beaumont 🔁
↦ Álex Balboa
84′
L. Delaurier-Chaubet 🔁
↦ V. Zagaritis
85′
85′
🔁 T. Oosting
↦ T. van Bergen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Almere City

4-2-3-1
1 N. Bakker G
20 H. Akujobi D
3 J. Jacobs D
4 Visus D
14 V. Zagaritis D
23 Álex Balboa M
5 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp M
17 K. Hansen M
9 T. Robinet M
24 F. Mattoir M
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (11)
11 J. Kadile
7 R. Providence
2 D. Dankerlui
36 G. Beaumont
27 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
29 J. Wendlinger
16 A. Nalić
22 T. Barbet
31 J. van der Wilt
25 C. Mamengi
15 J. Lawrence

Coach: H. Maduro

Groningen

4-4-2
1 E. Vaessen G
7 L. Bacuna D
5 M. Rente D
43 M. Peersman D
22 F. Stam D
14 J. Schreuders M
8 J. Hove M
18 T. de Jonge M
10 L. Valente M
29 R. Postema F
26 T. van Bergen F
Bench (10)
2 W. Prins
9 B. Willumsson
25 T. Oosting
11 N. Emeran
3 T. Blokzijl
21 H. Jurjus
27 Rui Mendes
24 D. Baron
4 J. Pelupessy
23 F. Turay

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,35
U ✓
3,47
B
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Vos · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.