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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Lugano
T S U T S
0–3
Full-time
Basel
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
23%
62%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
46%
77%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 8. · Basel 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 13 8 4 1 +15 28
2 Basel 13 8 3 2 +17 27
3 St. Gallen 13 8 2 3 +11 26
4 Servette 14 4 6 4 +3 18
5 Zurich 13 5 3 5 -12 18
6 Sion 13 5 2 6 -4 17
7 Luzern 14 4 3 7 -4 15
8 Lugano 13 3 4 6 -2 13
9 Xamax 14 2 6 6 -8 12
10 Thun 14 2 3 9 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -19 Basel – Lugano 2–1

Match report

Lugano Basel
12′
⚽ K. Ademi 0–1
V. Stocker
21′
🟨 Eray Cömert
25′
🟨 Fabian Frei
32′
⚽ F. Frei 0–2
R. Petretta
S. Lovric 🔁
↦ N. Dalmonte
34′
Half-time 0–2
Olivier Custodio 🟨
54′
M. Čovilo 🔁
↦ B. Vécsei
67′
70′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ K. Ademi
74′
🔁 L. Zuffi
↦ T. Xhaka
Mijat Marić 🟨
82′
84′
🔁 A. Pululu
↦ E. Zhegrova
F. Holender 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
89′
94′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 0–3
F. Frei
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lugano

4-4-1-1
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy D
18 E. Yao D
70 M. Aratore M
17 B. Vécsei M
20 O. Custodio M
19 A. Gerndt F
11 Carlinhos F
23 N. Dalmonte M
Bench (7)
24 S. Lovric
6 M. Čovilo
9 F. Holender
21 L. Obexer
31 A. Pietrogiovanna
4 A. Kecskés
22 S. Guidotti

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
5 S. Widmer D
6 O. Alderete D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
33 K. Bua M
30 E. Zhegrova M
99 K. Ademi F
Bench (7)
98 Arthur Cabral
7 L. Zuffi
19 A. Pululu
36 E. Bergström
13 Đ. Nikolić
10 S. Campo
15 B. Riveros

Coach: M. Koller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.