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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Winterthur
U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Zurich
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Winterthur 9. · Zurich 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 5 3 0 2 +5 9
2 Grasshoppers 5 2 3 0 +2 9
3 Young Boys 4 2 2 0 +7 8
4 Servette 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Sion 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Luzern 4 1 2 1 -2 5
7 Lugano 4 1 0 3 +0 3
8 Basel 3 0 3 0 +0 3
9 Winterthur 4 0 1 3 -6 1
10 Zurich 4 0 1 3 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Zurich
37′
🟨 Ivan Santini
41′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Viunnyk
↦ I. Santini
46′
🔁 W. Gnonto
↦ A. Marchesano
60′
🟨 Fidan Aliti
N. Manzambi 🔁
↦ M. Di Giusto
61′
69′
🔁 K. Mets
↦ F. Aliti
70′
🔁 F. Rohner
↦ D. Avdijaj
1–0 F. Rodríguez
N. Manzambi
73′
T. Corbaz 🔁
↦ R. Buess
78′
Tobias Schättin 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 B. Krasniqi
↦ N. Boranijašević
84′
🟨 Mirlind Kryeziu
85′
F. Rohner 1–1
S. Ballet 🔁
↦ S. Ramizi
91′
R. Arnold 🔁
↦ F. Rodríguez
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Winterthur

5-4-1
1 T. Fayulu G
19 A. Gantenbein D
5 R. Gelmi D
4 G. Lekaj D
3 T. Schättin D
18 S. Diaby D
10 M. Di Giusto M
77 E. Abedini M
8 S. Ramizi M
44 F. Rodríguez M
9 R. Buess F
Bench (9)
11 N. Manzambi
14 T. Corbaz
17 S. Ballet
16 R. Arnold
34 P. Hammer
22 F. Kamberi
36 J. Pukaj
15 M. Gonçalves
20 C. Chiappetta

Coach: B. Berner

Zurich

3-4-2-1
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
31 M. Kryeziu D
6 F. Aliti D
19 N. Boranijašević M
17 C. Conde M
21 B. Džemaili M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
18 D. Avdijaj F
10 A. Marchesano F
9 I. Santini F
Bench (9)
20 B. Viunnyk
22 W. Gnonto
28 K. Mets
23 F. Rohner
7 B. Krasniqi
11 J. Okita
4 B. Omeragić
8 O. Selnæs
1 Ž. Kostadinović

Coach: F. Foda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.