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Eredivisie

Referee: E Blank

For Sittard

S U U U T

3–2

Full-time

Nijmegen

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,5

4,3

Scored

1,5

4,0

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+3,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,33 xG 1,90

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 17. · Nijmegen 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	3	3	0	0	+11	+6.9	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+7	+2.7	9
3	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.7	8
4	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+6	+1.8	6
5	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
6	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.2	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.3	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
10	Volendam	4	0	4	0	+0	-3.7	4
11	Telstar	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	3	1	-3	-2.9	3
13	Twente	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.2	3
14	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.6	3
15	Excelsior	4	1	0	3	-8	-5.5	3
16	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-2	+4.0	2
17	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-13	-7.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.2	6
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.9	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.9	6
4	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.0	6
5	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.9	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
7	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
10	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-3.6	3
12	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
13	Heerenveen	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.7	2
14	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
15	Telstar	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
17	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Telstar	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
6	Twente	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.1	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.7	2
9	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
10	Ajax	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.7	2
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
12	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
13	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
14	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.2	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-8	-1.9	0
18	Heracles	3	0	0	3	-10	-5.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.