Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Reichel

FC Koln

U S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Freiburg

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

FC Koln Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,11 xG 0,91

39% Possession 61%

18 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 7. · Freiburg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.9	6
2	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.4	6
3	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
4	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.8	4
5	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.4	4
6	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+1	-5.0	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
10	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	-4	+0.0	3
12	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
13	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.5	1
14	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.7	1
15	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.8	1
16	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.7	1
17	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
18	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+6	+1.2	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
5	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
6	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.0	3
7	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
9	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.7	0
12	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
17	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
4	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
5	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.7	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
10	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
12	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
13	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
14	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
16	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
17	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-6	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.