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Super League
Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis
AEK
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 4. · Asteras Tripolis 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Panetolikos 3 2 0 1 +2 6
3 Atromitos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 AEK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Levadeiakos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 PAOK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Aris Thessalonikis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Aris 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Kifisia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 Larisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Asteras Tripolis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Panserraikos 2 0 0 2 -3 0
14 Volos NFC 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Asteras Tripolis
Frantzdy Pierrot 🟨
4′
23′
🟨 Nikola Šipčić
1–0 F. Pierrot
P. Mantalos
38′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 J. Mendieta
↦ N. Kaltsas
63′
🔁 E. Yablonskiy
↦ E. Gonzalez
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ A. Koita
69′
L. Jovic 🔁
↦ R. Marin
70′
71′
🟨 Pepe Castaño
72′
🔁 G. Charalampoglou
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
Petros Mantalos 🟨
81′
R. Ljubicic 🔁
↦ F. Pierrot
86′
86′
🔁 R. Ivanov
↦ N. Sipcic
86′
🔁 N. Gioacchini
↦ F. Macheda
Luka Jović 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
29 J. Penrice D
18 R. Marin M
13 O. Pineda M
19 N. Eliasson M
20 P. Mantalos M
11 A. Koita M
14 F. Pierrot F
Bench (12)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
55 K. Chrysopoulos
34 C. Kosidis
28 M. Odubajo
3 S. Pilios
44 F. Relvas
6 J. Jonsson
17 D. Kaloskamis
7 D. Kutesa
23 R. Ljubicic
9 L. Jovic

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
17 N. Alho D
19 P. Castano
3 N. Sipcic D
4 I. Sylla D
22 Munoz Mumo M
10 E. Gonzalez M
20 N. Kaltsas M
7 J. Bartolo M
11 D. Emmanouilidis M
41 F. Macheda F
Bench (12)
61 V. Chatziemmanouil
16 P. Tsintotas
72 D. Fernandez
2 R. Ivanov
29 K. Pomonis
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos
95 C. Kallanxhi
32 J. Mendieta
5 E. Yablonskiy
49 G. Charalampoglou
40 K. Ketu
9 N. Gioacchini

Coach: Savvas Pantelidis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
5,35
B
10,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandros Tsakalidis · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.