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Süper Lig

Referee: Cagdas Altay

Rizespor

T U T S U

1–2

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 19%

20%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,6

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,35 xG 0,32

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 4

6 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 13. · Kasimpasa 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+17	+10.1	21
2	Trabzonspor	7	4	2	1	+3	+0.2	14
3	Goztep	7	3	4	0	+8	+3.2	13
4	Fenerbahce	6	3	3	0	+5	+8.4	12
5	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+1.4	12
6	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-2	-1.5	11
7	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
8	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	-3.0	9
9	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	+1	+3.9	9
10	Konyaspor	5	2	1	2	+3	-0.4	7
11	Buyuksehyr	5	1	3	1	+1	-0.8	6
12	Kasimpasa	6	1	2	3	-2	-0.5	5
13	Rizespor	5	1	2	2	-4	-0.5	5
14	Eyüpspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-5.4	5
15	Kayserispor	6	0	4	2	-8	-5.4	4
16	Genclerbirligi	6	1	0	5	-5	-2.9	3
17	Karagumruk	7	1	0	6	-9	-4.1	3
18	Kocaelispor	6	0	2	4	-6	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	+3.6	9
2	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+3	+7.1	7
4	Samsunspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
5	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.3	7
6	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.7	6
7	Goztep	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.4	5
8	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.3	4
9	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
10	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.9	4
11	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
12	Buyuksehyr	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.7	3
13	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.1	3
14	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
15	Kocaelispor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
16	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.9	1
17	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-8	-4.6	1
18	Karagumruk	4	0	0	4	-6	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	+6.5	12
2	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.8	8
3	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.0	6
4	Antalyaspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.8	6
5	Fenerbahce	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.2	5
6	Samsunspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
7	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
8	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
9	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
10	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.8	4
11	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
12	Kayserispor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.8	3
13	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.2	3
14	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
15	Rizespor	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.0	2
16	Eyüpspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.6	1
17	Genclerbirligi	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.8	0
18	Kocaelispor	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.