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Ligue 1
Referee: Bastien Dechepy
Rennes
S T U S U
0–0
Full-time
Lens
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,19 xG 1,04
67% Possession 33%
14 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rennes 8. · Lens 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 +8 +3.8 15
2 Lyon 6 5 0 1 +5 +3.7 15
3 Marseille 6 4 0 2 +7 +3.0 12
4 Monaco 6 4 0 2 +4 +0.8 12
5 Strasbourg 6 4 0 2 +2 +2.2 12
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 +4 +4.0 10
7 Lens 5 3 0 2 +3 +3.8 9
8 Rennes 5 2 2 1 -1 -3.2 8
9 Brest 6 2 1 3 +0 -1.0 7
10 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -2 +0.5 7
11 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 -3 -1.3 7
12 Nice 6 2 1 3 -3 -0.9 7
13 Lorient 6 2 1 3 -5 -1.4 7
14 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 -4 -3.5 6
15 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 -2 +1.9 5
16 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -2 -3.7 5
17 Angers 6 1 2 3 -3 -2.9 5
18 Metz 6 0 2 4 -8 -5.6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lens
-5′
🟨 Florian Sotoca
1′
🟥 Jonathan Gradit
M. Tamari 🔁
↦ D. Cisse
29′
40′
🟨 Adrien Thomasson
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 M. Guilavogui
↦ W. Said
61′
🔁 R. Fofana
↦ O. Edouard
Mahdi Camara 🟨
62′
M. Meite 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
62′
N. Mukiele 🔁
↦ L. Blas
62′
78′
🔁 S. Abdulhamid
↦ R. Aguilar
M. Nagida 🔁
↦ Q. Merlin
80′
Mahamadou Nagida 🟨
85′
Jérémy Jacquet 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Morgan Guilavogui
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Rennes

3-5-2
30 B. Samba G
36 A. Seidu D
97 J. Jacquet D
24 A. Rouault D
10 L. Blas M
45 M. Camara M
6 D. Cisse M
8 S. Fofana M
26 Q. Merlin M
7 B. Embolo F
9 E. Lepaul F
Bench (9)
50 M. Silistrie
95 P. Frankowski
33 H. Hateboer
3 L. Brassier
18 M. Nagida
21 V. Rongier
39 M. Meite
65 N. Mukiele
11 M. Tamari

Coach: Habib Bèye

Lens

3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser G
24 J. Gradit D
6 S. Baidoo D
20 M. Sarr D
2 R. Aguilar M
8 M. Sangare M
28 A. Thomasson M
14 M. Udol M
10 F. Thauvin F
22 W. Said F
11 O. Edouard F
Bench (9)
1 R. Gurtner
13 Jhoanner Chavez
23 S. Abdulhamid
25 I. Ganiou
5 A. Bulatovic
7 F. Sotoca
19 A. Sima
29 M. Guilavogui
38 R. Fofana

Coach: Pierre Sage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U ✓
3,48
B
2,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bastien Dechepy · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.