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Eliteserien
Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam
Ham-Kam
S U T T T
4–0
Full-time
Rosenborg
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
23%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
43%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,93 xG 0,21
66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 6
15 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 12
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ham-Kam 14. · Rosenborg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 23 15 5 3 +23 +20.6 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 22 15 4 3 +39 +35.0 49
3 Brann 22 14 4 4 +12 +19.4 46
4 Tromso 22 13 3 6 +8 +4.1 42
5 Rosenborg 21 9 7 5 +5 +5.6 34
6 Fredrikstad 22 8 7 7 +3 -3.0 31
7 Valerenga 22 9 4 9 +1 -4.6 31
8 KFUM Oslo 22 7 8 7 +7 +7.1 29
9 Sarpsborg 08 23 7 8 8 +1 +11.4 29
10 Sandefjord 21 9 1 11 +4 -5.4 28
11 Molde 22 8 3 11 +0 -0.4 27
12 Kristiansund 22 7 6 9 -16 -15.7 27
13 Bryne 22 5 6 11 -12 -4.1 21
14 Ham-Kam 22 5 6 11 -14 -13.6 21
15 Stromsgodset 22 6 1 15 -17 -20.9 19
16 Haugesund 22 1 3 18 -44 -35.5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Rosenborg
1–0 K. Lien
S. Nilsen
5′
14′
🔁 J. Mortensen
↦ A. F. Witry
23′
🟥 Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
2–0 Y. Ibrahimaj
33′
3–0 A. Ekeroth
K. Lien
45′
Half-time 3–0
Ylldren Ibrahimaj 🟨
51′
M. Johnsgard 🔁
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
61′
T. Soras 🔁
↦ F. Sjolstad
61′
69′
🔁 M. Zeidan
↦ S. Nordli
3–1 E. Reitan
own goal
74′
75′
🔁 J. Reitan-Sunde
↦ S. Vaananen
75′
🔁 H. Volden
↦ D. Islamovic
M. Mawa 🔁
↦ K. Lien
81′
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ W. Osnes-Ringen
81′
V. Jonsson 🔁
↦ S. Nilsen
84′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
22 S. Nilsen D
2 G. Granath D
23 F. Sjolstad D
3 E. Amundsen-Day D
5 A. Ekeroth D
24 Y. Ibrahimaj M
14 L. Mares M
15 W. Osnes-Ringen M
19 K. Lien
20 J. Gonstad F
Bench (9)
30 A. Nilsson
7 V. Jonsson
8 M. Johnsgard
10 M. Mawa
11 T. Soras
17 A. Potur
18 G. Simenstad
26 M. Pedersen
34 M. Larsen

Coach: Thomas Harald Myhre

Rosenborg

4-4-2
1 S. Tangvik G
16 A. F. Witry D
38 M. K. Ceide D
21 T. Nemcik D
2 E. Reitan D
29 D. Duris M
8 I. Fossum M
6 S. Vaananen M
7 S. Nordli M
39 D. Islamovic F
35 E. K. Ceide F
Bench (9)
12 R. Sandberg
5 M. Zeidan
15 J. Mortensen
43 A. Borgersen
45 J. Reitan-Sunde
50 H. Volden
55 E. Sandrod
56 I. Holmen
60 E. Slordal

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mohammad Usman Aslam · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.