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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Ath Madrid

T U U S S

3–2

Full-time

Eibar

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%

7 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Corners 1

9 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Eibar 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Levante	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Osasuna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Betis	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Celta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
3	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Barcelona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.