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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto
Leganes
U U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Mallorca
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
33%
22%
Both score Ø 33%
44%
22%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
0,4
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 20. · Mallorca 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 9 6 1 2 +13 19
2 Real Madrid 9 5 3 1 +7 18
3 Villarreal 10 5 2 3 +10 17
4 Granada 9 5 2 2 +6 17
5 Sociedad 9 5 1 3 +6 16
6 Ath Madrid 9 4 4 1 +3 16
7 Sevilla 9 5 1 3 +0 16
8 Ath Bilbao 9 3 4 2 +3 13
9 Getafe 9 3 4 2 +2 13
10 Valencia 9 3 4 2 +0 13
11 Levante 9 3 2 4 -1 11
12 Valladolid 9 2 5 2 -1 11
13 Osasuna 9 2 5 2 -1 11
14 Alaves 10 3 2 5 -5 11
15 Mallorca 9 3 1 5 -5 10
16 Eibar 9 2 3 4 -3 9
17 Celta 9 2 3 4 -6 9
18 Betis 9 2 3 4 -7 9
19 Espanol 9 1 2 6 -11 5
20 Leganes 9 0 2 7 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Mallorca
1–0 M. Braithwaite
R. Rosales
31′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Ante Budimir
Dimitrios Siovas 🟨
56′
C. Awaziem 🔁
↦ D. Siovas
59′
59′
🔁 T. Kubo
↦ Dani Rodríguez
José Arnáiz 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
68′
68′
🔁 A. Trajkovski
↦ Febas
Roberto Rosales 🟨
71′
Cristian Rivera 🟨
77′
Eraso 🔁
↦ Roque Mesa
79′
79′
🔁 Álex Alegría
↦ A. Budimir
Iván Cuéllar 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leganes

4-3-3
1 Iván Cuéllar G
16 Roberto Rosales D
3 Unai Bustinza D
22 Dimitrios Siovas D
5 Jonathan Silva D
6 Roque Mesa M
14 Cristian Rivera M
8 Recio M
27 Óscar Rodríguez F
18 Guido Carrillo F
7 Martin Braithwaite F
Bench (7)
13 Juan Soriano
24 Kevin Rodrigues
12 Chidozie Awaziem
17 Javier Eraso
19 Aitor Ruibal
33 Javier Avilés
10 José Manuel Arnáiz

Coach: Luis Cembranos

Mallorca

4-3-3
1 Manolo Reina G
2 Joan Sastre D
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Raillo D
15 Fran Gámez D
23 Aleix Febas M
12 Iddrisu Baba M
8 Salva Sevilla M
14 Dani Rodriguez F
22 Ante Budimir F
11 Lago Júnior F
Bench (7)
13 Fabri
3 Lumor Agbenyenu
5 Francisco Javier Campos
4 Josep Señé
26 Takefusa Kubo
10 Álex Alegría
17 Aleksandar Trajkovski

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,39
B
4,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,57
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eduardo Prieto · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.