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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Celta
T S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Betis
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
26 Free kicks against 3
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Celta 13. · Betis 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Real Madrid 6 6 0 0 +11 18
3 Ath Bilbao 7 5 1 1 +12 16
4 Betis 6 5 0 1 +6 15
5 Ath Madrid 7 4 1 2 +6 13
6 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +8 12
7 Osasuna 6 4 0 2 +2 12
8 Valencia 7 3 1 3 +5 10
9 Sociedad 6 3 1 2 -1 10
10 Mallorca 7 2 2 3 -2 8
11 Girona 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Celta 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Getafe 7 2 1 4 -7 7
15 Valladolid 7 2 1 4 -7 7
16 Espanol 7 1 2 4 -5 5
17 Sevilla 7 1 2 4 -6 5
18 Almeria 7 1 1 5 -7 4
19 Cadiz 7 1 1 5 -13 4
20 Elche 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Betis
1–0 Gabri Veiga
Fran Beltrán
9′
19′
ℹ️ Luiz Felipe
VAR: Card upgrade
20′
🟥 Luiz Felipe
22′
🔁 G. Pezzella
↦ William Carvalho
Gabriel Veiga 🟨
30′
Jørgen Strand Larsen 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Germán Pezzella
Javi Galán 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Fekir
↦ Borja Iglesias
46′
🔁 Willian José
↦ Luiz Henrique
Gonçalo Paciência 🔁
↦ J. Strand Larsen
55′
R. Tapia 🔁
↦ A. Solari
55′
65′
🟨 Sergio Canales
L. de la Torre 🔁
↦ Gabri Veiga
69′
Óscar Mingueza 🔁
↦ Hugo Mallo
70′
72′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ Rodri
72′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Martín Montoya
Iago Aspas 🔁
↦ Carles Pérez
75′
84′
🟨 Nabil Fekir
Óscar Mingueza 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 A. Marchesín G
2 Hugo Mallo D
15 J. Aidoo D
4 Unai Núñez D
17 Javier Galán D
8 Fran Beltrán M
21 A. Solari M
28 Gabri Veiga M
5 Óscar Rodríguez M
7 Carles Pérez F
18 J. Strand Larsen F
Bench (10)
9 Gonçalo Paciência
14 R. Tapia
23 L. de la Torre
3 Óscar Mingueza
10 Iago Aspas
13 Iván Villar
20 Kevin Vázquez
35 Pablo Durán
26 Carlos Domínguez
19 W. Swedberg

Coach: E. Coudet

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
2 Martín Montoya D
19 Luiz Felipe D
3 Edgar González D
15 Álex Moreno D
4 P. Akouokou M
14 William Carvalho M
11 Luiz Henrique M
10 Sergio Canales M
28 Rodri M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (12)
16 G. Pezzella
8 N. Fekir
12 Willian José
17 Joaquín
24 Aitor Ruibal
1 C. Bravo
5 G. Rodríguez
6 Víctor Ruíz
29 Juan Cruz
18 A. Guardado
21 Loren Morón
33 Juan Miranda

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
3,37
B
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.