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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Bordeaux
U T T T U
3–1
Full-time
Metz
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 13%
13%
13%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 20. · Metz 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 31 22 5 4 +41 71
2 Rennes 31 17 5 9 +36 56
3 Marseille 30 16 8 6 +20 56
4 Nice 30 15 7 8 +16 52
5 Strasbourg 30 14 9 7 +19 51
6 Monaco 30 13 8 9 +14 47
7 Lille 30 12 11 7 +3 47
8 Lyon 30 12 10 8 +4 46
9 Nantes 30 13 6 11 +6 45
10 Lens 30 12 8 10 +5 44
11 Montpellier 30 12 5 13 +2 41
12 Brest 30 10 8 12 -6 38
13 Reims 31 8 12 11 -1 36
14 Angers 30 8 8 14 -10 32
15 Troyes 30 8 8 14 -14 32
16 Lorient 31 7 10 14 -19 31
17 Clermont 31 7 7 17 -29 28
18 St Etienne 31 6 9 16 -28 27
19 Metz 30 4 11 15 -27 23
20 Bordeaux 30 4 11 15 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Metz
20′
D. Lamkel Zé 0–1
N. de Préville
T. Lacoux 🔁
↦ T. Pembélé
30′
Tom Lacoux 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Didier Lamkel Zé
42′
🟨 Boubakar Kouyaté
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 F. Boulaya
↦ N. de Préville
Stian Gregersen 🟨
49′
1–1 Ricardo Mangas
52′
56′
🔁 L. Mafouta
↦ D. Lamkel Zé
G. Mensah 🔁
↦ S. Gregersen
63′
2–1 M. Niang
G. Mensah
68′
75′
🔁 P. Yade
↦ J. Kana-Biyik
Ui-Jo Hwang 🟨
83′
S. Mara 🔁
↦ J. Dilrosun
83′
Y. Adli 🔁
↦ M. Niang
83′
83′
🔁 O. Nguette
↦ Fali Candé
3–1 Hwang Ui-Jo
Y. Adli
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

3-4-1-2
16 G. Poussin G
2 S. Gregersen D
12 Ricardo Mangas M
5 A. Ahmedhodzic D
22 T. Pembélé M
23 J. Guilavogui D
21 J. Dilrosun F
6 D. Ignatenko M
8 J. Onana M
10 M. Niang F
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (9)
27 T. Lacoux
14 G. Mensah
11 S. Mara
19 Y. Adli
33 T. Klidjé
1 B. Costil
24 P. Baysse
13 Fransérgio
3 A. Medioub

Coach: D. Guion

Metz

3-4-1-2
30 M. Caillard G
17 T. Delaine M
27 J. Kana-Biyik D
2 D. Bronn D
23 B. Kouyaté D
13 Fali Candé M
14 V. Pajot M
6 K. N'Doram M
15 P. Sarr F
9 N. de Préville F
22 D. Lamkel Zé F
Bench (9)
10 F. Boulaya
34 L. Mafouta
26 P. Yade
11 O. Nguette
7 I. Niane
5 Jemerson
8 B. Traoré
16 A. Oukidja
32 I. Amadou

Coach: F. Antonetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,46
B
4,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.