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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Norwich

T T T T U

2–0

Full-time

Burnley

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

This season — Premier League · 30/29 matches

Win Ø 14%

13%

14%

Points per game

0,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

60%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

40%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

0,6

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 20. · Burnley 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	30	23	4	3	+52	73
2	Liverpool	30	22	6	2	+57	72
3	Chelsea	30	18	8	4	+41	62
4	Tottenham	31	18	3	10	+19	57
5	Arsenal	30	17	3	10	+9	54
6	West Ham	31	15	6	10	+11	51
7	Man United	31	14	9	8	+7	51
8	Wolves	32	15	4	13	+5	49
9	Crystal Palace	30	8	13	9	+4	37
10	Leicester	28	10	7	11	-4	37
11	Brighton	31	8	13	10	-9	37
12	Aston Villa	31	11	3	17	-4	36
13	Southampton	31	8	12	11	-15	36
14	Newcastle	31	8	10	13	-20	34
15	Brentford	31	9	6	16	-11	33
16	Leeds	32	8	9	15	-30	33
17	Everton	30	8	4	18	-19	28
18	Burnley	29	4	12	13	-17	24
19	Watford	31	6	4	21	-31	22
20	Norwich	30	4	6	20	-45	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	15	12	3	0	+32	39
2	Man City	14	11	1	2	+30	34
3	Arsenal	16	10	2	4	+11	32
4	Tottenham	15	10	1	4	+14	31
5	West Ham	16	9	3	4	+8	30
6	Man United	16	8	4	4	+6	28
7	Chelsea	14	7	5	2	+15	26
8	Leicester	14	7	3	4	+5	24
9	Wolves	16	7	2	7	+2	23
10	Crystal Palace	16	5	7	4	+8	22
11	Everton	15	7	1	7	+1	22
12	Southampton	16	5	7	4	+0	22
13	Newcastle	15	5	6	4	-4	21
14	Aston Villa	15	5	3	7	-1	18
15	Brentford	15	5	2	8	-3	17
16	Leeds	16	4	5	7	-12	17
17	Burnley	15	3	6	6	-7	15
18	Brighton	16	3	6	7	-10	15
19	Norwich	15	2	3	10	-21	9
20	Watford	15	2	1	12	-23	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	16	12	3	1	+22	39
2	Chelsea	16	11	3	2	+26	36
3	Liverpool	15	10	3	2	+25	33
4	Tottenham	16	8	2	6	+5	26
5	Wolves	16	8	2	6	+3	26
6	Man United	15	6	5	4	+1	23
7	Brighton	15	5	7	3	+1	22
8	Arsenal	14	7	1	6	-2	22
9	West Ham	15	6	3	6	+3	21
10	Aston Villa	16	6	0	10	-3	18
11	Brentford	16	4	4	8	-8	16
12	Leeds	16	4	4	8	-18	16
13	Crystal Palace	14	3	6	5	-4	15
14	Watford	16	4	3	9	-8	15
15	Southampton	15	3	5	7	-15	14
16	Leicester	14	3	4	7	-9	13
17	Newcastle	16	3	4	9	-16	13
18	Burnley	14	1	6	7	-10	9
19	Norwich	15	2	3	10	-24	9
20	Everton	15	1	3	11	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.