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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
Vizela
U T U U S
0–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
21%
54%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vizela 13. · Sp Braga 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 29 25 4 0 +53 79
2 Sp Lisbon 29 23 4 2 +41 73
3 Benfica 29 20 4 5 +44 64
4 Sp Braga 28 15 7 6 +18 52
5 Gil Vicente 29 12 10 7 +10 46
6 Guimaraes 29 11 6 12 +0 39
7 Pacos Ferreira 29 9 9 11 -7 36
8 Estoril 29 8 10 11 -4 34
9 Santa Clara 29 8 10 11 -14 34
10 Boavista 29 6 15 8 -7 33
11 Maritimo 29 8 9 12 -7 33
12 Portimonense 29 8 8 13 -7 32
13 Vizela 28 6 11 11 -15 29
14 Famalicao 29 6 10 13 -10 28
15 Arouca 29 6 8 15 -23 26
16 Tondela 29 7 4 18 -21 25
17 Moreirense 29 5 8 16 -20 23
18 Belenenses 29 4 9 16 -31 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -21 Sp Braga – Vizela 4–1

Match report

Vizela Sp Braga
7′
🟨 David Carmo
13′
🟨 André Horta
39′
Iuri Medeiros 0–1
Ricardo Horta
44′
🟥 Vítor Oliveira
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Fabiano
↦ Yan Couto
Alejandro Alvarado Jr 🟨
51′
Raphael Guzzo 🔁
↦ A. Alvarado
52′
53′
🔁 Vítor Tormena
↦ David Carmo
62′
🔁 Abel Ruiz
↦ Iuri Medeiros
Ivanildo Fernandes 🟨
67′
Guo Tianyu 🔁
↦ K. Zohi
68′
74′
🔁 J. Gorby
↦ André Horta
74′
🔁 Lucas Mineiro
↦ Castro
Anderson 🟨
75′
A. Sarmiento 🔁
↦ Ivanildo Fernandes
83′
88′
🟨 Matheus
91′
🟨 Lucas Mineiro
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Vizela

4-5-1
1 Pedro Silva G
37 R. Ofori D
14 Igor Julião D
5 Anderson D
10 Kiko Bondoso M
4 Ivanildo Fernandes D
7 Osama Rashid M
20 Samú M
70 A. Alvarado M
9 Cassiano F
22 K. Zohi M
Bench (9)
8 Raphael Guzzo
18 Guo Tianyu
29 A. Sarmiento
84 Ivo Gonçalves
90 F. Etim
60 Emmanuel Maviram
25 M. Aidara
34 João Machado
80 Tiago Silva

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Sp Braga

3-4-2-1
1 Matheus G
15 Paulo Oliveira D
4 Diogo Leite D
74 Francisco Moura M
16 David Carmo D
2 Yan Couto M
88 Castro M
10 André Horta M
45 Iuri Medeiros F
21 Ricardo Horta F
99 Vítor Oliveira F
Bench (9)
70 Fabiano
3 Vítor Tormena
9 Abel Ruiz
67 J. Gorby
25 Lucas Mineiro
86 Bruno Rodrigues
79 Berna
96 Miguel Falé
12 Tiago Sá

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,87
U
3,53
B ✓
1,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,86
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.