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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
FC Emmen
U S T U S
3–3
Full-time
Ajax
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,5
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
15%
69%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
54%
77%
Both score Ø 62%
54%
69%
Average goals
2,6
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,2
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+2,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 16. · Ajax 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 10 0 3 +23 30
2 Feyenoord 13 9 3 1 +18 30
3 Ajax 13 9 2 2 +27 29
4 Twente 12 8 2 2 +16 26
5 AZ Alkmaar 13 8 2 3 +8 26
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 2 3 +11 23
7 Utrecht 13 6 3 4 +0 21
8 Waalwijk 13 4 5 4 +2 17
9 Heerenveen 12 4 5 3 +1 17
10 Nijmegen 13 2 8 3 -2 14
11 Go Ahead Eagles 13 3 5 5 -3 14
12 Excelsior 13 4 1 8 -17 13
13 For Sittard 13 3 3 7 -8 12
14 Groningen 13 3 3 7 -11 12
15 Vitesse 13 3 3 7 -13 12
16 FC Emmen 13 2 4 7 -14 10
17 Cambuur 13 2 2 9 -12 8
18 Volendam 14 1 3 10 -26 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen Ajax
1–0 J. Veldmate ⚽
6′
8′
⚽ K. Taylor 1–1
D. Tadić
21′
⚽ K. Taylor 1–2
D. Tadić
25′
⚽ S. Bergwijn 1–3
K. Taylor
Half-time 1–3
46′
🔁 D. Blind
↦ C. Bassey
46′
🔁 M. Kudus
↦ B. Brobbey
58′
🔁 D. Klaassen
↦ K. Taylor
2–3 R. Živković ⚽
L. Bernadou
58′
Jasin Assehnoun 🟨
74′
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ J. Assehnoun
75′
82′
🔁 F. Grillitsch
↦ S. Berghuis
3–3 M. Bouchouari ⚽
L. Bernadou
84′
86′
🔁 L. Lucca
↦ O. Wijndal
87′
🟨 Florian Grillitsch
J. Vlak 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
89′
Rui Mendes 🟨
95′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
32 M. van der Hart G
34 M. Bouchouari D
5 M. Araujo D
4 J. Veldmate D
18 L. Burnet D
2 K. Veendorp M
8 L. Bernadou M
7 Rui Mendes M
10 M. Diemers M
11 J. Assehnoun M
9 R. Živković F
Bench (9)
23 A. El Messaoudi
20 J. Vlak
1 E. Oelschlägel
16 K. van Dorp
24 J. Dirksen
27 A. Toufiqui
13 M. Heylen
17 F. Pacheco
29 A. Luzayadio

Coach: D. Lukkien

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
15 D. Rensch D
2 J. Timber D
3 C. Bassey D
5 O. Wijndal D
23 S. Berghuis M
4 E. Álvarez M
8 K. Taylor M
10 D. Tadić F
9 B. Brobbey F
7 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (11)
17 D. Blind
20 M. Kudus
6 D. Klaassen
21 F. Grillitsch
18 L. Lucca
29 L. Magallán
11 L. Ocampos
16 J. Gorter
1 M. Stekelenburg
19 J. Sánchez
35 Francisco Conceição

Coach: A. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,83
U ✓
5,69
B
1,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,84
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.