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Serie B

Referee: D Paterna

Parma

S U U S U

2–3

Full-time

Ternana

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 11. · Ternana 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Frosinone	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Brescia	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Ascoli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Genoa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Benevento	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Cagliari	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Palermo	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Bari	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Parma	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Spal	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Ternana	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Modena	4	1	0	3	+0	3
17	Sudtirol	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pisa	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Perugia	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Cagliari	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Ascoli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Ternana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Modena	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Benevento	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Spal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Genoa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Como	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Bari	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Reggina	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Parma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Spal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Como	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Pisa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Modena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Perugia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sudtirol	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.