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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Gornik Zabrze
T U U S U
3–3
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 36%
57%
14%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

75% Possession 25%
23 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 14. · Piast Gliwice 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 9 5 2 2 +10 17
2 Legia 8 5 2 1 +4 17
3 Pogon Szczecin 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Radomiak Radom 9 4 2 3 +1 14
5 Cracovia 9 4 1 4 +3 13
6 Stal Mielec 8 4 1 3 +2 13
7 Rakow 7 4 1 2 +2 13
8 Widzew Lodz 9 4 1 4 +1 13
9 Slask Wroclaw 9 3 3 3 -4 12
10 Warta Poznan 9 3 2 4 -3 11
11 Lech Poznan 7 3 1 3 +1 10
12 Korona Kielce 8 3 1 4 +0 10
13 Zaglebie 9 2 4 3 -4 10
14 Gornik Zabrze 7 2 3 2 +0 9
15 Piast Gliwice 7 3 0 4 +0 9
16 Jagiellonia 8 2 3 3 -1 9
17 Legnica 7 1 1 5 -6 4
18 Lechia Gdansk 8 1 1 6 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Piast Gliwice
-5′
🟨 Alberto Toril Domingo
5′
R. Jensen 1–0
own goal
14′
K. Wilczek 1–1
D. Kądzior
2–1 E. Janža
R. Janicki
17′
Erik Janža 🟨
28′
31′
🟨 Constantin Reiner
Robert Dadok ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
41′
🟨 Alexandros Katranis
3–1 P. Krawczyk
42′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 T. Mokwa
↦ C. Reiner
49′
D. Kądzior 3–2
Kryspin Szczesniak 🟨
56′
N. Wojtuszek 🔁
↦ P. Olkowski
68′
B. Vrhovec 🔁
↦ J. Kotzke
68′
73′
🔁 R. Sappinen
↦ Alberto Toril
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ R. Dadok
78′
Ł. Podolski 🔁
↦ P. Krawczyk
78′
81′
🟨 Damian Kądzior
81′
🔁 P. Dziczek
↦ G. Tomasiewicz
81′
🔁 J. Holúbek
↦ A. Katranis
Dani Pacheco 🔁
↦ K. Okunuki
84′
85′
🔁 M. Ameyaw
↦ A. Pyrka
96′
ℹ️ Ariel Mosór
VAR: Card upgrade
98′
🟥 Ariel Mosór
4–2 R. Jensen
99′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-3
32 K. Broll G
5 K. Szcześniak D
26 R. Janicki D
3 R. Jensen D
16 P. Olkowski M
25 J. Kotzke M
23 J. Jules M
64 E. Janža M
21 P. Krawczyk F
96 R. Dadok F
33 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
15 N. Wojtuszek
8 B. Vrhovec
20 S. Włodarczyk
10 Ł. Podolski
7 Dani Pacheco
11 M. Cholewiak
4 A. Paluszek
71 A. Maroša
1 D. Bielica

Coach: B. Gaul

Piast Gliwice

4-4-2
26 F. Plach G
37 C. Reiner D
2 A. Mosór D
4 J. Czerwiński D
98 A. Katranis D
77 A. Pyrka M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
24 T. Hateley M
92 D. Kądzior M
18 K. Wilczek F
9 Alberto Toril F
Bench (9)
22 T. Mokwa
11 R. Sappinen
16 P. Dziczek
14 J. Holúbek
19 M. Ameyaw
28 M. Kaput
33 K. Szymański
3 Miguel Muñoz
27 G. Kirejczyk

Coach: W. Fornalik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.