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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Vallecano

T U S T T

2–1

Full-time

Valencia

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 14. · Valencia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+3	6
12	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Almeria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Sevilla	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Elche	4	0	1	3	-8	1
19	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Cadiz	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.