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Bundesliga
Referee: Florian Badstubner
Wolfsburg
U U T T T
0–3
Full-time
Stuttgart
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,32 xG 1,90
41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 15. · Stuttgart 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 6 0 0 +22 +13.5 18
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 +8 +5.1 14
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 +0 +2.1 13
4 Stuttgart 6 4 0 2 +2 +2.0 12
5 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 +4 +3.9 11
6 FC Koln 6 3 1 2 +2 -1.4 10
7 Union Berlin 7 3 1 3 -3 -4.4 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 0 3 +1 +0.9 9
9 Freiburg 6 2 2 2 +0 +1.2 8
10 Hamburg 6 2 2 2 -2 -3.4 8
11 St Pauli 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.2 7
12 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 -3 -1.1 7
13 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 -5 -4.3 7
14 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 -2 -7.4 6
15 Wolfsburg 6 1 2 3 -2 +0.1 5
16 Mainz 6 1 1 4 -5 -0.2 4
17 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 -7 -4.9 3
18 M'gladbach 7 0 3 4 -9 -1.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
6′
🟨 Maximilian Mittelstädt
Moritz Jenz 🟨
20′
35′
T. Tomas 0–1
A. Stiller
Half-time 0–2
55′
M. Mittelstadt 0–2
S. Kumbedi 🔁
↦ K. Fischer
67′
A. Skov Olsen 🔁
↦ J. Maehle
67′
67′
🔁 D. Undav
↦ N. Nartey
L. Majer 🔁
↦ M. Svanberg
69′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ C. Eriksen
77′
78′
🔁 J. Vagnoman
↦ M. Mittelstadt
78′
🔁 B. Bouanani
↦ T. Tomas
80′
A. Stiller 0–3
B. El Khannouss
86′
🔁 C. Fuhrich
↦ B. El Khannouss
86′
🔁 A. Karazor
↦ A. Stiller
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Grabara G
2 K. Fischer D
15 M. Jenz D
4 K. Koulierakis D
25 A. Zehnter D
5 Vini Souza M
32 M. Svanberg M
11 A. Daghim M
24 C. Eriksen M
21 J. Maehle M
23 J. Wind F
Bench (9)
29 M. Muller
26 S. Kumbedi
14 J. Seelt
27 M. Arnold
10 L. Majer
8 B. Dardai
7 A. Skov Olsen
17 D. Pejcinovic
9 M. Amoura

Coach: Paul Simonis

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
33 A. Nubel G
14 L. Jaquez D
24 J. Chabot D
3 R. Hendriks D
22 L. Assignon M
30 C. Andres M
6 A. Stiller M
7 M. Mittelstadt M
8 T. Tomas F
28 N. Nartey F
11 B. El Khannouss F
Bench (9)
1 F. Bredlow
2 A. Al Dakhil
4 J. Vagnoman
29 F. Jeltsch
10 C. Fuhrich
16 A. Karazor
26 D. Undav
27 B. Bouanani
45 L. Jovanovic

Coach: Sebastian Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U
3,59
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Florian Badstubner · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.