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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Palermo
S T U T U
3–2
Full-time
Pisa
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
44%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 9
5 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Palermo 8. · Pisa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 16 10 4 2 +16 34
2 Venezia 17 10 3 4 +11 33
3 Como 17 9 4 4 +3 31
4 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
5 Cremonese 17 8 5 4 +9 29
6 Cittadella 17 8 5 4 +2 29
7 Modena 17 7 6 4 +1 27
8 Palermo 16 7 4 5 +7 25
9 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
10 Brescia 17 5 7 5 +1 22
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
14 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
15 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
16 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
17 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
18 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
19 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Pisa
21′
ℹ️ Marius Marin
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 R. Insigne
C. Gomes
29′
2–0 M. Brunori
R. Insigne
42′
Half-time 2–1
49′
M. Marin 2–1
Tomás Esteves
54′
M. Valoti 2–2
M. D'Alessandro
Kristoffer Lund 🟨
55′
59′
ℹ️ Marius Marin
VAR: Card upgrade
61′
🟥 Marius Marin
63′
🔁 G. Piccinini
↦ E. Vignato
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ M. Coulibaly
64′
L. Štulac 🔁
↦ C. Gomes
76′
G. Aurelio 🔁
↦ K. Lund
76′
F. Di Mariano 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
77′
77′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ S. Moreo
77′
🔁 A. De Vitis
↦ M. DAlessandro
77′
🔁 Á. Nagy
↦ M. Valoti
3–2 J. Segre
R. Insigne
80′
Fabio Lucioni 🟨
81′
85′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ A. Caracciolo
N. Valente 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
87′
Edoardo Soleri 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Hjörtur Hermannsson
Matteo Brunori 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
2 S. Graves D
5 F. Lucioni D
15 I. Marconi D
3 K. Lund D
80 M. Coulibaly M
4 C. Gomes M
8 J. Segre M
11 R. Insigne F
9 M. Brunori F
17 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (12)
27 E. Soleri
6 L. Štulac
31 G. Aurelio
10 F. Di Mariano
30 N. Valente
7 L. Mancuso
1 S. Desplanches
13 A. Kanurić
18 I. Nedelcearu
53 L. Henderson
20 A. Vasić
25 A. Buttaro

Coach: E. Corini

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
42 T. Barbieri D
6 H. Hermannsson D
4 A. Caracciolo D
19 Tomás Esteves D
44 Miguel Veloso M
8 M. Marin M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
27 M. Valoti M
23 E. Vignato M
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (11)
36 G. Piccinini
9 E. Gliozzi
30 A. De Vitis
16 Á. Nagy
26 G. Masucci
3 M. Leverbe
28 A. Arena
22 L. Loria
7 L. Tramoni
34 M. Campani
17 J. Mlakar

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,39
B
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.