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Premier League

Referee: C Pawson

Bournemouth

S S S S T

0–3

Full-time

Arsenal

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%

6 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 13. · Arsenal 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Fulham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+3	4
6	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Southampton	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Everton	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Man United	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nott'm Forest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Man United	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.