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Serie B

Referee: M Gariglio

Ascoli

U S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Spal

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 6. · Spal 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.