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Taça de Portugal
Angrense
0–2
Full-time
Nacional
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Serpa 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 São João Ver 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Beira-Mar 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 Dumiense 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Pêro Pinheiro 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Fontinhas 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Montalegre 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Valadares Gaia 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Sanjoanense 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Felgueiras 1932 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Olhanense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 Sertanense 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Canelas 2010 2 2 0 0 +4 6
15 Vilaverdense 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Bragança 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Tirsense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Varzim 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Alverca 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Pombal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Oriental Lisboa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Paredes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Oliveira Hospital 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Camacha 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 0 1 +7 3
26 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +5 3
27 Fafe 2 1 0 1 +4 3
28 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +4 3
29 Vitoria Setubal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
30 Oliveirense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 Merelinense 2 1 0 1 +3 3
32 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Juventude Évora 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Courense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Moreirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Amora 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Trofense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Rabo Peixe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Ferreiras 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Penafiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Vilafranquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Real 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Anadia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Farense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Mafra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Imortal Albufeira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 UD da Serra 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Os Marialvas 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Gondomar 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Resende 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Sintrense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
54 Arronches e Benfica 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 União de Leiria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
56 União Santarém 2 1 0 1 +0 3
57 Lajense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 Lagos 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 Oriental Dragon 2 1 0 1 -1 3
60 Joane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
61 Praiense 2 1 0 1 -4 3
62 AR São Martinho 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Guarda Desportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 União de Tomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Estrela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Machico 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Recreativa de Lamelas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Freamunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Monção 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Leça 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 1º Dezembro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Vila Meã 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Atlético CP 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 SC Paivense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Rebordosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Alcains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Amarante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Marinhense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Santa Eulália 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Alpendorada 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Águeda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Monte Trigo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Vasco Gama VF do Campo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Silves 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Atlético Arcos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Torreense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Vila Caíz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 UD Rio Maior 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Régua 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Culatrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Coruchense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 GR Vigor Mocidade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Brito 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Moncarapachense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Castrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Loures 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Fabril Barreiro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Vilar de Perdizes 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -5 0
121 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
122 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 0 0 1 -5 0
123 Moura 1 0 0 1 -5 0
124 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
125 Mortágua 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 Sporting Mêda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
127 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
128 1º Maio Funchal 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angrense Nacional
36′
⚽ C. Daniel 0–1
Half-time 0–2
59′
⚽ Ze Manuel 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
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BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.