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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Leeds

S S T U T

0–0

Full-time

Aston Villa

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

43%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 19

1 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 9

0 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 13. · Aston Villa 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Man City	8	6	2	0	+20	20
3	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	Brighton	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	+0	13
6	Man United	7	4	0	3	-3	12
7	Newcastle	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Fulham	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Liverpool	7	2	4	1	+9	10
10	Brentford	8	2	4	2	+3	10
11	Everton	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	-13	9
13	Leeds	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Aston Villa	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	West Ham	8	2	1	5	-4	7
16	Southampton	8	2	1	5	-5	7
17	Crystal Palace	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Wolves	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leicester	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Liverpool	4	2	2	0	+10	8
5	Brentford	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Aston Villa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Fulham	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Newcastle	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Man United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Everton	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Bournemouth	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-2	5
16	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Crystal Palace	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	West Ham	4	1	1	2	-2	4
19	Nott'm Forest	4	1	0	3	-3	3
20	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Man City	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Brighton	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Chelsea	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Man United	4	2	0	2	-5	6
6	Newcastle	4	1	2	1	+2	5
7	Tottenham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Everton	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Fulham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Bournemouth	4	1	1	2	-12	4
11	Brentford	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	West Ham	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Southampton	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Liverpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Crystal Palace	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Wolves	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-8	1
19	Aston Villa	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Leicester	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.