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Super League
Referee: C Vergetis
Panserraikos
S T T S S
1–4
Full-time
PAOK
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
36%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 12
0 Blocked shots 5
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panserraikos 12. · PAOK 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 15 9 3 3 +15 30
2 AEK 14 8 3 3 +17 27
3 PAOK 14 7 3 4 +7 24
4 Panathinaikos 14 6 6 2 +4 24
5 Aris Thessalonikis 14 7 3 4 +3 24
6 Aris 14 7 3 4 +3 24
7 Panetolikos 14 6 4 4 +4 22
8 Atromitos 16 5 4 7 -1 19
9 OFI Crete 14 5 4 5 -4 19
10 Asteras Tripolis 14 4 5 5 +0 17
11 Volos NFC 15 5 2 8 -10 17
12 Panserraikos 14 5 1 8 -6 16
13 Levadeiakos 14 1 7 6 -10 10
14 Lamia 14 1 6 7 -11 9
15 Athens Kallithea 14 0 8 6 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panserraikos PAOK
4′
⚽ J. Davidson 1–0
own goal
Jérémy Gélin 🟨
16′
Paschalis Staikos 🟨
18′
Paschalis Staikos 🟨
19′
Paschalis Staikos 🟥
19′
32′
🟨 Kiril Despodov
36′
⚽ K. Despodov 1–1
Jonny
Half-time 1–1
A. Karasalidis 🔁
↦ M. Tomás
46′
A. Liasos 🔁
↦ J. Gélin
46′
64′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ T. Tissoudali
64′
🔁 A. Živković
↦ K. Despodov
F. Perruzzi 🔁
↦ Z. Chatzistravos
65′
66′
⚽ A. Baba 1–2
Jonny
2–2 J. Salazar ⚽
76′
78′
🔁 S. Shoretire
↦ Taison
78′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ M. Ozdoev
79′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ G. Konstantelias
Muhammad Al Rashdi 🔁
↦ Jefté Betancor
82′
M. Sofianos 🔁
↦ J. Salazar
83′
87′
⚽ S. Shoretire 2–3
F. Chalov
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Panserraikos

4-2-3-1
23 L. Gugeshashvili G
64 P. Deligiannidis D
31 E. Bergström D
91 J. Davidson D
93 M. Fares D
26 P. Staikos M
25 J. Gélin M
11 M. Tomás M
18 Z. Chatzistravos M
77 J. Salazar M
10 Jefté Betancor F
Bench (9)
4 A. Karasalidis
8 A. Liasos
5 F. Perruzzi
39 Muhammad Al Rashdi
21 M. Sofianos
9 P. Gigić
24 N. Terzić
2 T. Koutsogoulas
13 P. Katsikas

Coach: Juan Ferrando

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
2 Mady Camara M
27 M. Ozdoev M
77 K. Despodov M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (9)
9 F. Chalov
14 A. Živković
47 S. Shoretire
22 S. Schwab
10 T. Murg
23 Joan Sastre
25 K. Thymianis
1 J. Pavlenka
15 O. Colley

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,49
U
4,99
B ✓
1,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.