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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

A. Lustenau

S T U

4–1

Full-time

Hartberg

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Lustenau Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match A. Lustenau 5. · Hartberg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+5	8
2	LASK	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Salzburg	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-1	4
7	Ried	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Altach	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Hartberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	2	1	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Tirol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Austria Vienna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ried	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	LASK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	A. Lustenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	1	1	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Salzburg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sturm Graz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
5	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	A. Lustenau	2	0	1	1	-1	1
7	A. Klagenfurt	2	0	1	1	-2	1
8	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Tirol	2	0	0	2	-2	0
10	Ried	2	0	0	2	-2	0
11	Austria Vienna	2	0	0	2	-4	0
12	Altach	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.