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Championship
Referee: A Marriner
Middlesbrough
S T U T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 22. · Sheffield United 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hull 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Watford 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Millwall 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Preston 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Rotherham 2 1 1 0 +4 4
9 QPR 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Burnley 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Birmingham 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Swansea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
14 Huddersfield 3 1 0 2 +0 3
15 Wigan 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 Stoke 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 Blackpool 3 1 0 2 -2 3
18 Reading 3 1 0 2 -4 3
19 West Brom 2 0 2 0 +0 2
20 Luton 3 0 2 1 -1 2
21 Coventry 2 0 1 1 -1 1
22 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 -1 1
23 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 -2 1
24 Norwich 3 0 1 2 -2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Sheffield United
3′
S. Berge 0–1
O. Norwood
Riley McGree 🟨
11′
11′
🟨 Billy Sharp
1–1 C. Akpom
I. Jones
14′
19′
🟨 Rhys Norrington-Davies
Half-time 1–1
Dael Fry 🟨
46′
M. Bola 🔁
↦ D. Fry
46′
46′
🔁 R. Brewster
↦ B. Sharp
A. Mowatt 🔁
↦ M. Forss
61′
Ryan Giles 🟨
66′
68′
R. Giles 2–1
own goal
D. Watmore 🔁
↦ A. Dijksteel
76′
81′
🔁 O. McBurnie
↦ I. Ndiaye
3–1 C. Akpom
D. Lenihan
82′
91′
🟨 John Fleck
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
97′
98′
🟨 Oliver Norwood
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-5-2
1 Z. Steffen G
15 A. Dijksteel D
6 D. Fry D
26 D. Lenihan D
2 I. Jones M
17 P. McNair M
16 J. Howson M
8 R. McGree M
3 R. Giles M
21 M. Forss F
29 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
27 M. Bola
4 A. Mowatt
18 D. Watmore
13 M. Hoppe
23 L. Roberts
30 H. Hackney
14 T. Smith

Coach: C. Wilder

Sheffield United

3-5-2
18 W. Foderingham G
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
12 J. Egan D
33 R. Norrington-Davies D
2 G. Baldock M
8 S. Berge M
16 O. Norwood M
4 J. Fleck M
13 M. Lowe M
29 I. Ndiaye F
10 B. Sharp F
Bench (7)
7 R. Brewster
9 O. McBurnie
11 R. Khadra
37 J. Amissah
28 J. McAtee
22 T. Doyle
34 K. Gordon

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,27
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Marriner · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.