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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Nice
S S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 13. · Strasbourg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Lille 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Toulouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Lens 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Clermont 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Angers 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Nantes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Ajaccio 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Auxerre 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Brest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Troyes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Reims 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Strasbourg
34′
🟨 Gerzino Nyamsi
1–0 A. Delort
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Maxime Le Marchand
47′
🟨 Thomas Delaine
55′
K. Gameiro 1–1
A. Thomasson
62′
🔁 S. Prcić
↦ T. Delaine
67′
🟨 Adrien Thomasson
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ C. Stengs
68′
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ M. Lemina
68′
A. Ramsey 🔁
↦ A. Gouiri
68′
75′
🔁 L. Perrin
↦ A. Djiku
Y. Atal 🔁
↦ R. Ilie
76′
Pablo Rosario 🟨
77′
81′
🔁 H. Diarra
↦ J. Aholou
81′
🔁 L. Ajorque
↦ K. Gameiro
82′
🔁 M. Senaya
↦ J. Bellegarde
F. Daniliuc 🔁
↦ J. Lotomba
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-2-3-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
23 J. Lotomba D
25 J. Todibo D
4 Dante D
26 M. Bard D
19 K. Thuram-Ulien M
99 M. Lemina M
22 C. Stengs M
11 A. Gouiri M
18 R. Ilie M
7 A. Delort F
Bench (9)
14 B. Brahimi
8 P. Rosario
16 A. Ramsey
20 Y. Atal
5 F. Daniliuc
21 A. Beka Beka
10 A. Claude-Maurice
77 T. Boulhendi
42 M. Viti

Coach: L. Favre

Strasbourg

3-5-2
1 M. Sels G
24 A. Djiku D
22 G. Nyamsi D
23 M. Le Marchand D
3 T. Delaine M
6 J. Aholou M
17 J. Bellegarde M
10 A. Thomasson M
11 D. Liénard M
20 H. Diallo F
9 K. Gameiro F
Bench (9)
14 S. Prcić
5 L. Perrin
19 H. Diarra
25 L. Ajorque
32 M. Senaya
16 E. Kawashima
29 I. Doukouré
31 A. Nuss
38 D. Jean

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,31
B
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.