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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

St Pauli

S S U S T

3–0

Full-time

Magdeburg

T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Magdeburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 79%

83%

75%

Average goals

4,3

3,8

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 11. · Magdeburg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	4	3	0	1	+7	9
2	Heidenheim	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Darmstadt	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Hamburg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Holstein Kiel	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	St Pauli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Magdeburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Greuther Furth	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Bielefeld	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	Braunschweig	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Sandhausen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Regensburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Magdeburg	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Bielefeld	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Kaiserslautern	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Karlsruhe	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Bielefeld	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Hannover	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.