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Serie A
Referee: J Sacchi
Fiorentina
T T S T S
3–2
Full-time
Cremonese
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

75% Possession 25%
27 Shots 13
11 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Fiorentina Cremonese
9′
🟨 Vlad Chiricheş
1–0 G. Bonaventura ⚽
C. Kouamé
16′
19′
⚽ D. Okereke 1–1
P. Ghiglione
2–1 L. Jović ⚽
R. Sottil
34′
43′
🟥 Gonzalo Escalante
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 S. Ascacíbar
↦ V. Chiricheș
46′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ L. Sernicola
62′
🟨 Paolo Ghiglione
65′
🔁 C. Buonaiuto
↦ C. Pickel
68′
⚽ M. Bianchetti 2–2
S. Żurkowski 🔁
↦ Y. Maleh
71′
Dodô 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
71′
R. Saponara 🔁
↦ C. Kouamé
78′
R. Mandragora 🔁
↦ S. Amrabat
78′
82′
🟨 David Okereke
82′
🔁 E. Aiwu
↦ P. Ghiglione
N. González 🔁
↦ R. Sottil
86′
87′
🔁 S. Di Carmine
↦ D. Okereke
3–2 R. Mandragora ⚽
S. Żurkowski
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
95 P. Gollini G
24 M. Benassi D
4 N. Milenković D
28 L. Martínez D
3 C. Biraghi D
5 G. Bonaventura M
34 S. Amrabat M
14 Y. Maleh M
99 C. Kouamé F
7 L. Jović F
33 R. Sottil F
Bench (14)
27 S. Żurkowski
2 Dodô
8 R. Saponara
38 R. Mandragora
22 N. González
32 A. Duncan
1 P. Terracciano
55 M. Nastasić
31 M. Cerofolini
11 J. Ikoné
42 A. Bianco
9 Arthur Cabral
23 L. Venuti
15 A. Terzić

Coach: V. Italiano

Cremonese

3-4-1-2
97 I. Radu G
15 M. Bianchetti D
21 V. Chiricheș D
5 J. Vásquez D
18 P. Ghiglione M
6 C. Pickel M
32 G. Escalante M
17 L. Sernicola M
98 L. Zanimacchia F
90 C. Dessers F
77 D. Okereke F
Bench (13)
8 S. Ascacíbar
33 G. Quagliata
10 C. Buonaiuto
4 E. Aiwu
11 S. Di Carmine
45 M. Sarr
13 G. Saro
7 J. Báez
62 T. Milanese
9 D. Ciofani
74 F. Tsadjout
23 C. Acella
60 M. Ndiaye

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
🔒
U
5,02
🔒
B
8,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
U2,5
2,25
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.