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Primeira Liga

Referee: António Nobre

Casa Pia

U U T S T

2–0

Full-time

Maritimo

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Casa Pia Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

42%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

38%

54%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,6

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

16 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 10

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Casa Pia 7. · Maritimo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	25	22	2	1	+52	68
2	Porto	24	18	3	3	+38	57
3	Sp Braga	24	18	1	5	+32	55
4	Sp Lisbon	24	16	2	6	+26	50
5	Guimaraes	25	12	4	9	-4	40
6	Arouca	25	10	8	7	-3	38
7	Casa Pia	24	10	5	9	-4	35
8	Rio Ave	25	9	6	10	-3	33
9	Vizela	25	9	5	11	+0	32
10	Chaves	25	8	8	9	-5	32
11	Famalicao	24	9	3	12	-8	30
12	Boavista	24	8	6	10	-11	30
13	Gil Vicente	24	8	5	11	-5	29
14	Portimonense	25	8	2	15	-14	26
15	Estoril	25	6	4	15	-18	22
16	Pacos Ferreira	25	4	4	17	-24	16
17	Maritimo	24	4	4	16	-28	16
18	Santa Clara	25	3	6	16	-21	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	12	1	0	+32	37
2	Porto	12	10	0	2	+26	30
3	Sp Lisbon	12	10	0	2	+25	30
4	Guimaraes	13	8	2	3	+4	26
5	Sp Braga	11	8	1	2	+17	25
6	Arouca	13	7	2	4	+3	23
7	Rio Ave	12	7	1	4	+5	22
8	Famalicao	12	7	1	4	+4	22
9	Boavista	12	5	5	2	+0	20
10	Casa Pia	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	Portimonense	13	5	2	6	-2	17
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Chaves	12	3	5	4	-1	14
14	Vizela	12	4	2	6	-1	14
15	Maritimo	12	3	2	7	-6	11
16	Estoril	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	Santa Clara	13	2	4	7	-12	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	2	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	Sp Braga	13	10	0	3	+15	30
3	Porto	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	Sp Lisbon	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Vizela	13	5	3	5	+1	18
6	Chaves	13	5	3	5	-4	18
7	Casa Pia	12	5	2	5	-5	17
8	Arouca	12	3	6	3	-6	15
9	Guimaraes	12	4	2	6	-8	14
10	Gil Vicente	12	4	1	7	-5	13
11	Estoril	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Rio Ave	13	2	5	6	-8	11
13	Boavista	12	3	1	8	-11	10
14	Portimonense	12	3	0	9	-12	9
15	Pacos Ferreira	12	2	2	8	-10	8
16	Famalicao	12	2	2	8	-12	8
17	Santa Clara	12	1	2	9	-9	5
18	Maritimo	12	1	2	9	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.