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Serie A
Referee: M Marchetti
Torino
T U T S S
0–4
Full-time
Napoli
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 62%
38%
85%
Points per game
1,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
54%
Both score Ø 48%
54%
42%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,33 xG 2,27
48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 9. · Napoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 26 22 2 2 +44 +8.1 68
2 Juventus 26 16 5 5 +22 +5.4 53
3 Inter 26 16 2 8 +17 +9.0 50
4 Lazio 26 14 7 5 +22 +2.4 49
5 Milan 27 14 6 7 +8 +0.1 48
6 Roma 26 14 5 7 +10 +1.1 47
7 Atalanta 27 13 6 8 +13 +3.1 45
8 Udinese 27 9 11 7 +6 -1.7 38
9 Torino 26 10 7 9 +0 +1.6 37
10 Bologna 27 10 7 10 -3 -1.2 37
11 Sassuolo 27 10 6 11 -5 +2.9 36
12 Fiorentina 26 9 7 10 +0 +3.7 34
13 Monza 27 9 7 11 -5 -1.1 34
14 Empoli 27 6 10 11 -12 -6.1 28
15 Lecce 26 6 9 11 -7 -0.7 27
16 Salernitana 27 6 9 12 -16 -5.5 27
17 Spezia 26 5 8 13 -20 -7.6 23
18 Verona 26 4 6 16 -19 -2.0 18
19 Sampdoria 27 3 6 18 -28 -5.4 15
20 Cremonese 27 1 10 16 -27 -6.1 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Napoli
9′
V. Osimhen 0–1
P. Zieliński
Andreaw Gravillon 🟨
20′
35′
K. Kvaratskhelia 0–2
Half-time 0–3
51′
V. Osimhen 0–3
M. Olivera
A. Buongiorno 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
54′
K. Djidji 🔁
↦ A. Gravillon
54′
I. Ilić 🔁
↦ K. Linetty
54′
65′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ H. Lozano
65′
🔁 T. Ndombélé
↦ P. Zieliński
68′
T. Ndombélé 0–4
K. Kvaratskhelia
69′
🟨 Tanguy Ndombélé
71′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ V. Osimhen
72′
🔁 L. Østigård
↦ A. Rrahmani
O. Aina 🔁
↦ W. Singo
75′
D. Seck 🔁
↦ N. Vlašić
85′
85′
🔁 G. Gaetano
↦ S. Lobotka
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
5 A. Gravillon D
3 P. Schuurs D
13 R. Rodríguez D
17 W. Singo M
77 K. Linetty M
28 S. Ricci M
27 M. Vojvoda M
16 N. Vlašić F
49 N. Radonjić F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (12)
4 A. Buongiorno
26 K. Djidji
8 I. Ilić
34 O. Aina
23 D. Seck
66 G. Gineitis
21 M. Adopo
94 C. N'Guessan
11 P. Pellegri
73 M. Fiorenza
2 B. Bayeye
89 L. Gemello

Coach: I. Juric

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
17 M. Olivera D
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
11 H. Lozano F
9 V. Osimhen F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (13)
7 E. Elmas
91 T. Ndombélé
18 G. Simeone
55 L. Østigård
70 G. Gaetano
6 Mário Rui
23 A. Zerbin
5 Juan Jesus
19 B. Bereszyński
95 P. Gollini
16 H. Idasiak
21 M. Politano
31 K. Zedadka

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,89
U
3,54
B ✓
1,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.