Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Torino
Napoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | +44 | +8.1 | 68 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | +22 | +5.4 | 53 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | +17 | +9.0 | 50 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | +22 | +2.4 | 49 |
| 5 |
Milan
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +8 | +0.1 | 48 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +10 | +1.1 | 47 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +13 | +3.1 | 45 |
| 8 |
Udinese
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | +6 | -1.7 | 38 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +0 | +1.6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Bologna
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -3 | -1.2 | 37 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | +2.9 | 36 |
| 12 |
Fiorentina
|
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | +0 | +3.7 | 34 |
| 13 |
Monza
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -5 | -1.1 | 34 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | -6.1 | 28 |
| 15 |
Lecce
|
26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -7 | -0.7 | 27 |
| 16 |
Salernitana
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -16 | -5.5 | 27 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -20 | -7.6 | 23 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -19 | -2.0 | 18 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -28 | -5.4 | 15 |
| 20 |
Cremonese
|
27 | 1 | 10 | 16 | -27 | -6.1 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
V. Milinković-Savić
G
P. Schuurs
D
R. Rodríguez
D
W. Singo
M
K. Linetty
M
S. Ricci
M
M. Vojvoda
M
N. Vlašić
F
Coach: I. Juric
A. Meret
G
G. Di Lorenzo
D
A. Rrahmani
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
M. Olivera
D
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
S. Lobotka
M
P. Zieliński
M
V. Osimhen
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
F
Coach: L. Spalletti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lecce
Torino
Torino
Bologna
Juventus
Torino
Torino
Cremonese
Milan
Torino
M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.