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La Liga
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura
Las Palmas
U S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Mallorca
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 1,61
69% Possession 31%
5 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Las Palmas Mallorca
Sandro Ramírez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
27′
28′
🟨 José Copete
1–0 Jonathan Viera ⚽
29′
Kirian Rodríguez 🟨
39′
41′
❌ Vedat Muriqi
penalty missed
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Antonio Raíllo
↦ José Copete
46′
🔁 Sergi Darder
↦ Giovanni González
53′
🟨 Omar Mascarell
60′
🔁 Cyle Larin
↦ Amath Ndiaye
60′
🔁 Samuel Costa
↦ Omar Mascarell
Munir El Haddadi 🔁
↦ Marc Cardona
64′
Sergi Cardona 🔁
↦ Daley Sinkgraven
64′
70′
⚽ Antonio Raíllo 1–1
Sergi Darder
Enzo Loiodice 🟨
84′
Álvaro Lemos 🟨
84′
Omenuke Mfulu 🔁
↦ Kirian Rodríguez
85′
85′
🔁 Javi Llabrés
↦ Manu Morlanes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-5-1
13 Álvaro Valles G
14 Álvaro Lemos D
23 Saúl Coco D
4 Alex Suárez D
18 Daley Sinkgraven D
21 Jonathan Viera M
5 Javier Muñoz M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
12 Enzo Loiodice M
9 Sandro Ramírez M
19 Marc Cardona F
Bench (12)
3 Sergi Cardona
17 Munir El Haddadi
22 Omenuke Mfulu
1 Aarón Escandell
15 Mika Mármol
6 Eric Curbelo
28 Julian Araujo
31 Juanma Herzog
24 Pejiño
7 Cristian Herrera
11 Benito Ramírez
29 Iñaki González

Coach: García Pimienta

Mallorca

5-3-2
1 Predrag Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
20 Giovanni González D
24 Martin Valjent D
6 José Copete D
11 Jaume Costa D
14 Dani Rodríguez M
5 Omar Mascarell M
8 Manu Morlanes M
7 Vedat Muriqi F
23 Amath Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
21 Antonio Raíllo
10 Sergi Darder
12 Samuel Costa
17 Cyle Larin
34 Javi Llabrés
13 Dominik Greif
31 Pere García
3 Toni Lato
4 Siebe Van Der Heyden
18 Antonio Sánchez
26 Ruben Quintanilla
9 Abdón Prats

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U ✓
3,00
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,70
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Victor Garcia Verdura · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.