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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Sp Braga

T S S T U

0–4

Full-time

Benfica

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

1,5

3,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 11. · Benfica 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	4	0	1	+12	12
2	Famalicao	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Sp Lisbon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Tondela	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Gil Vicente	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Sp Braga	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Aves	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Setubal	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Guimaraes	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Gil Vicente	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sp Braga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.