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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Gent
U S T T S
3–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 11. · Cercle Brugge 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 7 5 0 2 +11 15
2 Club Brugge 6 4 2 0 +12 14
3 Genk 7 4 1 2 +6 13
4 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
5 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +5 12
6 Charleroi 6 3 2 1 +7 11
7 Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
9 Oostende 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Kortrijk 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Gent 5 2 1 2 +5 7
12 Waregem 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 St Truiden 7 2 1 4 -7 7
14 Anderlecht 7 1 3 3 -3 6
15 Cercle Brugge 6 2 0 4 -6 6
16 Eupen 8 0 3 5 -14 3
17 Waasland-Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1
18 Beveren 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Cercle Brugge
1–0 L. Depoitre
J. David
11′
15′
S. Peeters 1–1
A. Gory
2–1 J. David
L. Depoitre
24′
3–1 J. David
A. Castro-Montes
27′
30′
🟨 Stef Peeters
Milad Mohammadi 🟨
36′
45′
🟨 Rominigue Kouamé
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 G. Donsah
↦ K. Hazard
53′
🟨 Idriss Saadi
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ S. Kums
66′
66′
🔁 L. Foster
↦ I. Saadi
Y. Kubo 🔁
↦ G. Kvilitaia
70′
78′
🟨 Corentin Fiore
79′
🔁 W. Balikwisha
↦ A. Gory
B. Dejaegere 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
86′
92′
S. Peeters 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-4-2
1 T. Kaminski G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
13 G. Kvilitaia F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
11 J. Dompé
31 Y. Kubo
19 B. Dejaegere
9 R. Bezus
26 C. Coosemans
76 T. Derijck
33 L. Verstraete

Coach: J. Thorup

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
40 L. Badiashile G
5 N. Ueda D
24 C. Fiore D
22 K. Dabila D
41 G. Biancone D
8 S. Peeters M
18 L. Coulibaly M
19 K. N'Guessan M
9 I. Saadi F
7 K. Hazard F
28 A. Gory M
Bench (7)
30 G. Donsah
13 L. Foster
23 W. Balikwisha
21 S. Omeonga
6 A. Deuro
1 G. Hubert
17 Jordi Mboula

Coach: F. Mercadal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,29
U
5,75
B
8,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
2,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.