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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Karol Arys

Jagiellonia

S U U S S

4–0

Full-time

Arka Gdynia

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Arka Gdynia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 44%

60%

27%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

60%

36%

Both score Ø 48%

60%

36%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,9

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,65 xG 0,78

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 2. · Arka Gdynia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	2	3	+9	-1.3	23
2	Jagiellonia	10	6	3	1	+6	-1.3	21
3	Korona Kielce	12	5	4	3	+5	-2.0	19
4	Cracovia	10	5	3	2	+6	+2.9	18
5	Wisla Plock	10	5	3	2	+5	+6.3	18
6	Lech Poznan	10	5	3	2	+2	+6.2	18
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	1	6	+3	+4.2	16
8	Legia	10	4	3	3	+4	+3.3	15
9	Radomiak Radom	12	4	3	5	+0	-0.8	15
10	Rakow	10	4	2	4	-1	+2.4	14
11	Zaglebie	10	3	4	3	+5	-2.1	13
12	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	1	6	-4	+6.2	13
13	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	3	5	-7	-3.0	12
14	Arka Gdynia	11	3	3	5	-8	-4.2	12
15	GKS Katowice	12	3	2	7	-8	-7.0	11
16	Motor Lublin	11	2	5	4	-8	-3.7	11
17	Nieciecza	11	2	3	6	-6	-1.2	9
18	Piast Gliwice	9	1	4	4	-3	-4.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	6	4	1	1	+8	+1.5	13
2	Korona Kielce	6	4	1	1	+7	+1.3	13
3	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	+2.1	13
4	Wisla Plock	6	4	1	1	+5	+5.2	13
5	Gornik Zabrze	6	4	0	2	+5	+1.7	12
6	Jagiellonia	5	4	0	1	+4	-1.3	12
7	Legia	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
8	Cracovia	5	3	2	0	+4	+2.6	11
9	Arka Gdynia	5	3	2	0	+3	-2.2	11
10	Zaglebie	5	2	3	0	+8	+1.2	9
11	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	0	2	+2	+4.5	9
12	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
13	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-2	+4.2	8
14	GKS Katowice	6	2	1	3	-1	-3.1	7
15	Motor Lublin	5	1	3	1	-2	+0.9	6
16	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.1	5
17	Rakow	5	1	2	2	+0	+1.6	5
18	Nieciecza	5	0	1	4	-7	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	2	1	+4	-3.0	11
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.9	10
3	Jagiellonia	5	2	3	0	+2	–	9
4	Rakow	5	3	0	2	-1	+0.8	9
5	Nieciecza	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.5	8
6	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+2	+0.3	7
7	Korona Kielce	6	1	3	2	-2	-3.4	6
8	Wisla Plock	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
9	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.6	5
10	Legia	5	1	1	3	-2	+1.0	4
11	Zaglebie	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.3	4
12	Pogon Szczecin	6	1	1	4	-6	+1.6	4
13	GKS Katowice	6	1	1	4	-7	-3.8	4
14	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-9	-4.2	4
15	Widzew Lodz	5	1	0	4	-2	+2.1	3
16	Piast Gliwice	5	0	2	3	-4	-5.0	2
17	Radomiak Radom	6	0	2	4	-8	-2.3	2
18	Arka Gdynia	6	0	1	5	-11	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.