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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Braun
Hansa Rostock
T T T U S
2–3
Full-time
St Pauli
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 13. · St Pauli 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 13 7 6 0 +15 27
2 Hamburg 14 8 3 3 +10 27
3 Hannover 14 6 5 3 +11 23
4 Holstein Kiel 13 7 2 4 +2 23
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 6 3 4 +9 21
6 Greuther Furth 13 6 3 4 +4 21
7 Wehen 13 6 3 4 +2 21
8 Nurnberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
9 Elversberg 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Hertha 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Kaiserslautern 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Paderborn 13 5 3 5 -2 18
13 Hansa Rostock 13 5 1 7 -5 16
14 Magdeburg 13 3 4 6 -2 13
15 Karlsruhe 13 3 4 6 -4 13
16 Schalke 04 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Braunschweig 14 2 2 10 -17 8
18 Osnabruck 13 1 4 8 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock St Pauli
1–0 Júnior Brumado ⚽
9′
15′
⚽ M. Saliakas 1–1
E. Smith
18′
⚽ M. Hartel 1–2
23′
⚽ O. Afolayan 1–3
E. Saad
Oliver Hüsing 🟨
37′
Júnior Brumado 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–3
K. Schumacher 🔁
↦ N. Fröling
65′
J. Perea 🔁
↦ C. Kinsombi
65′
73′
🔁 C. Metcalfe
↦ O. Afolayan
2–3 Júnior Brumado ⚽
80′
85′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ E. Saad
S. Güler 🔁
↦ K. Pröger
87′
S. Singh 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
87′
91′
🔁 L. Ritzka
↦ M. Saliakas
96′
🟨 Johannes Eggestein
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

4-2-2-2
1 M. Kolke G
22 J. van der Werff D
5 O. Hüsing D
4 D. Roßbach D
21 A. Rossipal D
19 S. Vasiliadis M
6 D. Dressel M
10 N. Fröling M
27 C. Kinsombi M
9 K. Pröger F
49 Júnior Brumado F
Bench (9)
13 K. Schumacher
18 J. Perea
11 S. Güler
28 S. Singh
16 L. Hinterseer
34 J. Lang
26 J. Bachmann
8 S. Rhein
23 N. Körber

Coach: A. Schwartz

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
5 H. Wahl D
8 E. Smith D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
10 M. Hartel M
23 P. Treu M
17 O. Afolayan F
11 J. Eggestein F
26 E. Saad F
Bench (9)
24 C. Metcalfe
14 E. Amenyido
21 L. Ritzka
30 S. Burchert
9 Maurides
16 C. Boukhalfa
4 D. Nemeth
6 S. Zoller
25 A. Dźwigała

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,73
U
3,86
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

R Braun · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.