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LaLiga2
Referee: E Mallo
Las Palmas
T T T U S
0–1
Full-time
Malaga
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 9. · Malaga 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 3 3 0 0 +6 – 9
2 Sp Gijon 3 3 0 0 +3 – 9
3 Valladolid 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.3 7
4 Andorra 3 2 1 0 +3 – 7
5 Cadiz 3 2 1 0 +2 – 7
6 Almeria 3 1 2 0 +1 – 5
7 Burgos 3 1 1 1 +3 +3.1 4
8 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +3 – 4
9 Las Palmas 2 1 1 0 +2 – 4
10 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +2 – 4
11 Huesca 2 1 1 0 +1 – 4
12 Malaga 2 1 1 0 +1 – 4
13 Sociedad B 3 1 1 1 +0 – 4
14 Leganes 2 0 2 0 +0 – 2
15 Albacete 3 0 1 2 -2 – 1
16 Cordoba 3 0 1 2 -3 – 1
17 Castellon 3 0 1 2 -3 – 1
18 Zaragoza 3 0 1 2 -3 – 1
19 Mirandes 2 0 0 2 -2 – 0
20 Granada 2 0 0 2 -5 – 0
21 Cultural Leonesa 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.1 0
22 Ceuta 3 0 0 3 -7 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Malaga
7′
🟨 Diego Murillo
11′
🟨 Victor Garcia Marin
Ale García ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
28′
45′
⚽ R. Rodriguez 0–1
Juanpe
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 D. Sanchez
↦ V. Garcia
Miloš Luković 🟨
47′
J. Viera 🔁
↦ J. Recoba
59′
59′
🔁 C. Dotor
↦ R. Rodriguez
68′
🔁 A. Nino
↦ Chupe
68′
🔁 J. Lobete
↦ J. Munoz
Enrique Clemente 🟨
69′
74′
🟨 Francisco Montero
E. Cedeno 🔁
↦ E. Loiodice
75′
C. Gutierrez 🔁
↦ E. Clemente
75′
Pejino 🔁
↦ Marvin
83′
M. Cardona 🔁
↦ M. Lukovic
84′
85′
🔁 E. Galilea
↦ Juanpe
95′
🟨 Carlos Dotor
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-4-2
1 D. Horkas G
2 Marvin D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
14 M. Fuster M
12 E. Loiodice M
16 L. Amatucci M
22 A. Garcia M
25 M. Lukovic F
9 J. Recoba F
Bench (12)
15 J. Herzog
18 E. Cedeno
26 I. Gonzalez
24 Pejino
13 J. Caro
35 A. Suarez
10 Jese
11 M. Cardona
23 C. Gutierrez
21 J. Viera
7 J. Mata
4 Alex Suarez

Coach: Luis Garcia

Malaga

4-4-2
1 A. Herrero G
3 C. Puga D
16 D. Murillo D
20 J. Montero D
14 V. Garcia D
10 D. Larrubia M
8 Juanpe M
29 I. Merino M
11 J. Munoz M
37 R. Rodriguez F
27 Chupe F
Bench (11)
13 C. Lopez
4 E. Galilea
21 A. Nino
24 J. Lobete
17 E. Jauregi
36 A. Recio
18 D. Sanchez
12 C. Dotor
35 A. Ochoa
22 D. Lorenzo
2 J. Gabilondo

Coach: Juan Funes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U
3,41
B ✓
4,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

E Mallo · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.