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Taça de Portugal

Referee: João Afonso

Academico Viseu

1–0

Full-time

Oriental Lisboa

S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Academico Viseu Oriental Lisboa

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

8,0

1,5

Scored

6,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+0,5

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

8,0

1,5

Scored

6,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Academico Viseu 32. · Oriental Lisboa 25. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sanjoanense	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	FC Serpa	3	2	0	1	+8	6
5	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
11	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Sertanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Mafra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Canelas 2010	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
30	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
31	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
32	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
34	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
35	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	CF Os Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
64	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
67	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
69	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
128	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
129	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
130	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
131	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
132	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
133	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
134	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
135	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
136	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
137	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
138	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
139	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
140	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
12	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
13	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Canelas 2010	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
42	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	CF Os Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
88	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
89	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Academico Viseu Oriental Lisboa

1–0 Famana Quizera ⚽

5′

🟨

34′

🟨

41′

Half-time 1–0

G. Ott 🔁

↦ Yuri

46′

Tiago Mesquita 🔁

↦ Rafael Fonseca

46′

56′

🟨

57′

🔁 Élvis Fernandes

↦ Didi

57′

🔁 Adilson

↦ Carlos Bebé

57′

🔁 S. Krieger

↦ Gustavo Burity

74′

🟨

74′

🔁 Gonçalo Mendes

↦ Zé Pedro

Javier Currás 🔁

↦ S. Messeguem

78′

R. Ramírez 🔁

↦ Famana Quizera

78′

🟨

94′

🟨

94′

🟨

94′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Academico Viseu

M. Mbaye

Ícaro

Igor Milioransa

Rafael Fonseca

Arthur Chaves

C. Nduwarugira

Yuri

S. Messeguem

Famana Quizera

J. Toro

André

Bench (9)

G. Ott

Tiago Mesquita

Javier Currás

R. Ramírez

D. Gril

André Almeida

Capela

D. Labila

Tomás Silva

Coach: Jorge Costa

Oriental Lisboa

1 André Marques

45 David Crespo

29 Zé Pedro

23 Carlos Bebé

2 Deritson Lopes

10 Hugo Machado

20 Léléco

8 Fábio Arcanjo

6 Gustavo Burity

7 Leandro Morais

98 Didi

Bench (9)

9 Élvis Fernandes

14 Adilson

32 S. Krieger

73 Gonçalo Mendes

99 Tomás Godinho

3 Manuel Esteves

17 Tiago Gaspar

19 Manuel Eloy

Rafael Santos

Coach: Tuck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Academico Viseu

Oriental Lisboa

Odds comparison

Recent matches