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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Ross County
U U T T S
3–3
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 9. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 5 5 0 0 +14 15
2 Aberdeen 5 5 0 0 +7 15
3 Rangers 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Dundee United 5 2 2 1 +2 8
5 Motherwell 5 2 1 2 +1 7
6 Dundee 5 1 3 1 +0 6
7 St Mirren 5 1 2 2 -2 5
8 Hibernian 5 1 2 2 -3 5
9 Ross County 5 1 2 2 -5 5
10 ST Johnstone 5 1 0 4 -3 3
11 Kilmarnock 5 0 2 3 -9 2
12 Hearts 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County ST Johnstone
1–0 R. Hale ⚽
J. Nisbet
19′
20′
🟨 Jason Holt
44′
⚽ D. Wright 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Kacper Łopata 🟨
58′
60′
⚽ N. Clark 1–2
M. Efete 🔁
↦ J. Brown
61′
66′
🔁 D. Keltjens
↦ A. Raymond
67′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ M. Smith
A. Denholm 🔁
↦ C. Randall
71′
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ J. White
71′
73′
🟨 Sven Sprangler
80′
🟨 Mackenzie Kirk
80′
🔁 J. McPake
↦ M. Kirk
J. Grieves 🔁
↦ K. Łopata
82′
A. Samuel 🔁
↦ N. Chilvers
82′
82′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ S. Sprangler
Ryan Leak 🟨
83′
84′
⚽ N. Clark 1–3
2–3 A. Samuel ⚽
A. Denholm
87′
96′
🟨 Cameron MacPherson
3–3 A. Wright ⚽
J. Grieves
97′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Ross County

3-5-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
4 A. Wright D
20 K. Łopata D
3 R. Leak D
2 J. Brown M
23 J. Nisbet M
8 C. Randall M
10 N. Chilvers M
19 E. Campbell M
26 J. White F
9 R. Hale F
Bench (9)
24 M. Efete
15 A. Denholm
27 E. Brophy
14 J. Grieves
25 A. Samuel
7 V. Loturi
22 J. Hamilton
21 C. Telfer
30 D. Smith

Coach: D. Cowie

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
20 R. Sinclair G
6 L. Neilson D
5 J. Sanders D
4 K. Cameron D
14 D. Wright M
7 J. Holt M
23 S. Sprangler M
22 M. Smith M
3 A. Raymond M
27 M. Kirk F
10 N. Clark F
Bench (9)
33 D. Keltjens
11 G. Carey
24 J. McPake
8 C. MacPherson
49 B. Dair
15 A. Essel
17 M. Kucheriavyi
38 S. Bright
12 J. Rae

Coach: A. Kirk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,43
B
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.