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Süper Lig
Referee: M Güzenge
Hatayspor
S U T U T
5–0
Full-time
Alanyaspor
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 14. · Alanyaspor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Konyaspor 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Altay 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Galatasaray 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Fenerbahce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Yeni Malatyaspor 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 Besiktas 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Kasimpasa 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Karagumruk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Antalyaspor 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Kayserispor 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Alanyaspor 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Ad. Demirspor 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Hatayspor 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Goztep 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Gaziantep 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Rizespor 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Sivasspor 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Buyuksehyr 3 0 0 3 -3 0
20 Giresunspor 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Alanyaspor
1–0 N. Traoré
4′
Adama Traoré 🟨
6′
B. Öksüz 🔁
↦ S. Falette
15′
2–0 S. Lobzhanidze
N. Traoré
18′
3–0 Rúben Ribeiro
S. Lobzhanidze
42′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 A. Ildız
↦ João Novais
46′
🔁 Wilson Eduardo
↦ L. Fer
4–0 A. El Kaabi
M. Diouf
60′
Mame Biram Diouf 🟨
66′
M. Boudjemaa 🔁
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
68′
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
68′
Mehdi Boudjemaa 🟨
75′
76′
🟨 Fatih Aksoy
Sam Adekugbe 🟨
78′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
79′
I. Sackey 🔁
↦ O. Ergün
79′
Fatih Kurucuk 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 K. Babacar
↦ Candeias
5–0 M. Kamara
D. Saint-Louis
92′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
6 S. Falette D
23 S. Adekugbe D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
17 N. Traoré M
4 O. Ergün M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
53 B. Öksüz
8 M. Boudjemaa
95 D. Saint-Louis
20 M. Kamara
5 I. Sackey
61 B. Cevahir
87 E. Fansa
31 A. Yiğiter
2 B. Çamoglu
10 E. Çolak

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Alanyaspor

3-4-1-2
1 S. Kırıntılı G
19 N. Milunović D
24 Juanfran M
31 C. Borja M
20 F. Aksoy D
4 L. Fer M
21 Candeias F
18 João Novais F
75 T. Bingöl D
6 U. Güneş M
91 Davidson F
Bench (10)
8 A. Ildız
17 Wilson Eduardo
10 K. Babacar
28 Marafona
70 O. Aydın
35 F. Bayır
30 Y. Karagöz
5 B. Bulut
88 Y. Özdemir
11 E. Bekiroglu

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,51
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Güzenge · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.