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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Nice

S T S U S

4–0

Full-time

Bordeaux

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Bordeaux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 7. · Bordeaux 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Angers	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Clermont	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Lens	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Rennes	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-2	5
7	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Nantes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Lorient	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Reims	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Bordeaux	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Lille	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Strasbourg	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lyon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Lille	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.